Dogecoin Price Faces 23% Drop Risk as Triangle Pattern Tightens and Buyer Momentum Collapses

Dogecoin is trading at $0.09515, up 5.44% in the last 24 hours. A descending triangle has compressed prices since January, when DOGE climbed above $0.14. The structure has delivered a steady series of lower highs. A flat support floor at $0.0881 is now the only barrier between current prices and a deeper correction. Technical structure, on-chain data, and market sentiment are all pointing in the same direction. Unless a significant demand catalyst emerges, the path of least resistance for DOGE is lower. New Address Growth Collapses 87% in Ten Days On March 13, Dogecoin attracted approximately 74,150 new wallet addresses, the highest reading since a comparable spike near 75,000 on February 25. Both surges proved short-lived. New address creation collapsed to roughly 9,650 by March 21–22, an 87% decline from the March 13 peak in under two weeks. That figure marks the lowest level of the entire February–March window. The pattern is consistent. Each spike in new addresses aligned with DOGE as it attempts to recover above $0.10. Each time, newly arrived buyers failed to hold positions and exited within days. The result is a market that draws buyers at resistance, then loses them quickly. Demand is not accumulating. It is being exhausted. Realized Losses Hit Deepest Level Since January Network Realized Profit/Loss data from Santiment confirms the stress. The DOGE network has been realizing losses almost continuously since late January. Around March 21–22, the reading reached approximately -$868K, the deepest single-period loss figure visible over the measured timeframe. This surpasses the February 5 and March 7 loss episodes. Loss-taking at this scale typically reflects recently acquired holders cutting exposure rather than waiting for a reversal. Combined with collapsing new address data, the market is absorbing selling pressure faster than fresh capital can offset it.