The October trend Bitcoin could soon reignite as traders bet on a Federal Reserve rate cut, with CME data showing a 96.7% chance of easing later this month. Historically, October has been one of BTC’s strongest months, averaging 20% gains since 0 institutions now holding over $117 billion in BTC, optimism is building for a potential late-month breakout above $110,000. Fed Rate Cut Bets Rise to 96.7% Ahead of October Meeting Bitcoin’s historical October strength may be gearing up for another test as traders brace for a potential Federal Reserve rate cut later this 1 to the latest CME FedWatch data , markets are pricing in a 96.7% probability of a 25-basis-point reduction in the federal funds rate, from 4.00–4.25% to the 3.75–4.00% 2 3.3% of traders expect no change.
A cut would mark the Fed’s first easing move in over a year, signaling that policymakers may be shifting toward stimulating growth amid softening economic 3 borrowing costs often lead to greater liquidity and a stronger risk-on appetite, favoring assets like 4 2019, October has historically delivered a 20% average gain and 15% median return for BTC, setting the stage for what could be a late-month 5 Bitcoin Holdings Surge Past $117B Institutional sentiment is also turning more 6 to Bitwise’s Q3 2025 Corporate Bitcoin Adoption Report, total BTC held by public companies reached 1.02 million BTC, valued at $117 billion, a 28% quarterly 7 48 new firms added Bitcoin to their balance sheets in Q3, bringing the total number of corporate holders to 172, up 38.7% from the previous 8 the charge, Strategy now holds 640,031 BTC, followed by MARA Holdings (52,850 BTC), XXI (43,514 BTC), Metaplanet (30,823 BTC), and Bitcoin Standard Treasury Company (30,021 BTC).
The largest single purchase came from Strategy, which added 40,000 BTC in Q3 9 are almost 40% more public companies holding bitcoin today than there were 3 months 10 Are Buying Bitcoin, Q3 2025 Edition: 11 — Bitwise (@BitwiseInvest) October 14, 2025 This wave of accumulation underscores that corporations are increasingly treating Bitcoin as a strategic reserve asset, not just a speculative 12 ongoing Fed pivot narrative, combined with expanding institutional adoption, could amplify Bitcoin’s recovery momentum into 13 policy easing materializes as expected, Bitcoin may find its footing above $110,000, with a potential breakout toward $120,000 in Q4 as liquidity returns and corporate demand 14 Builds Momentum Above Key $109K Support Bitcoin (BTC/USD) is steady near $111,300, rebounding from the $109,600 triple-bottom zone, a key support that’s repeatedly attracted buyers since early 15 structure suggests a potential reversal, with higher lows forming a short-term base for 16 the 1-hour chart, BTC remains capped by a descending trendline from $122,000, with resistance near $112,700–$113,000, where the 20-EMA is attempting to cross above the 50-EMA.
A confirmed breakout could drive price toward $114,600, $116,100, and possibly $117,600, aligning with key Fibonacci 17 RSI near 48 signals early bullish divergence, hinting that downside pressure may be 18 Price Prediction –) is bringing a new phase to the Bitcoin 19 BTC remains the gold standard for security, Bitcoin Hyper adds what it always lacked: Solana-level 20 as the first Bitcoin-native Layer 2 powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM), it merges Bitcoin’s stability with Solana’s high-performance 21 result: lightning-fast, low-cost smart contracts, decentralized apps, and even meme coin creation, all secured by 22 by Consult, the project emphasizes trust and scalability as adoption 23 momentum is already 24 presale has surpassed $23.7 million, with tokens priced at just $0.013115 before the next 25 Bitcoin activity climbs and demand for efficient BTC-based apps rises, Bitcoin Hyper stands out as the bridge uniting two of crypto’s biggest 26 Bitcoin built the foundation, Bitcoin Hyper could make it fast, flexible, and fun 27 Here to Participate in the Presale
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