Bitcoin Price Analysis: Signals to Watch as Macro Shock Sends Crypto Fear Index to 35

Bitcoin (BTC/USD) fell sharply below $111,000 this week, extending losses as global risk sentiment ￰0￱ of the selling bias was triggered as BTC got rejected near $124,500, where a bearish engulfing candle on the daily chart confirmed heavy profit-taking and a potential short-term trend ￰1￱ move coincided with broader macro jitters, driving the Crypto Fear and Greed Index down to 35 (Fear), its lowest in over a ￰2￱ drop mirrors the risk reset across global markets, with the total crypto market cap slipping to $3.7 trillion and 24-hour trading volumes nearing $497 ￰3￱ Enters Risk-Off Territory The latest downturn underscores how Bitcoin remains closely tied to broader market ￰4￱ with ￰5￱ climbed again this week as risk assets sold off amid renewed trade and inflation concerns.

Bitcoin: $110,705, down 8.59% in 24h Ethereum: $3,764, down 12.94% BNB: $1,092, down 13.6% Solana: $183, down 16.3% XRP: $2.41, down 14.0% The Altcoin Season Index dipped to 37, confirming a renewed shift toward Bitcoin ￰6￱ the same time, the CoinMarketCap 20 Index, tracking major tokens, slid 10.5% to 235.1, highlighting broad selling pressure across the ￰7￱ Crypto Fear and Greed Index –) last week to fear (35) now, the steepest weekly decline since ￰8￱ Bearish Butterfly Pattern Played –) indicates that BTC is entering oversold territory, while the MACD has crossed bearishly into negative ￰9￱ $108,000–$110,000 zone remains a crucial support area that has repeatedly attracted long-term buyers since ￰10￱ formations over the last three sessions, marked by long lower wicks, indicate dip buyers defending this level.

A Doji or spinning top near this region could mark the early stages of a reversal, particularly if confirmed by a rebound above $117,000, which aligns with the 50-day moving average and prior resistance ￰11￱ this recovery holds, Bitcoin may attempt another retest of $124,000, followed by a medium-term target near $126,000–$130,000. Alternatively, failure to stay over $108,000 could expose downside targets near $103,000 and $98,200, where historical demand zones reside. #Bitcoin – As noted in our previous forecast, BTC completed the bearish butterfly’s first target before tumbling 9% to $110K. Price now tests key support at $108K–$110K. A rebound above $117K could trigger recovery toward $124K–$126K, while failure risks deeper pullback to $103K.

pic. twitter. com/4D4spTnEqX — Arslan Ali (@forex_arslan) October 11, 2025 Market Sentiment and Trading Setup Despite the selloff, technical analysis signals it as a healthy reset rather than the start of a new bearish ￰12￱ the Crypto Fear and Greed Index at 35, market sentiment now mirrors early accumulation phases seen in prior ￰13￱ that said, a potential buy-the-dip setup emerges near $108,000, with stop-losses below $107,500 and upside targets at $124,000–$126,000. This aligns with both Fibonacci retracement and moving average confluence, offering a favorable risk-reward ratio for swing ￰14￱ momentum improves, Bitcoin could resume its uptrend toward $130,000 in Q4, especially as institutional flows, ETF demand, and blockchain adoption continue to offset macro ￰15￱ Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) Combines BTC Security With Solana Speed Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin-native Layer 2 powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM).

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