[LIVE] Bitcoin Price Tracker: Is BTC Going To Hold or Fall Below $100K Today?

Bitcoin is facing significant pressure on November 4, sliding below $103,000 after losing the crucial 85th percentile cost basis (~$109K) , a level that has historically acted as strong support during macro-driven ￰1￱ now trades around $103K , with analysts focusing on the next major threshold at the 75th percentile cost basis (~$99K) , a zone that previously halted deeper ￰2￱ weakness persists despite macro conditions that should have supported risk ￰3￱ has lost support at the 85th percentile cost basis (~$109K) and is now hovering near $103.5K. The next key level sits around the 75th percentile cost basis (~$99K), which has historically provided support during pullbacks. ￰0￱ ￰4￱ — glassnode (@glassnode) November 4, 2025 Crypto continues to underperform equities even after the Federal Reserve’s 25 bps rate cut and its plan to end quantitative tightening (QT) by ￰5￱ the S&P 500 is up 1.66% over the past month and 16.76% YTD , Bitcoin has fallen over 15% in the last 30 days and is up just 4.2% ￰6￱ is expanding globally — U.

S. M2 has grown by more than $2 trillion since mid-2023 — yet almost none of it is reaching ￰7￱ inflows remain stalled , digital asset treasury activity across major tokens has dried up, and more than $19 billion in leverage was flushed around the last FOMC event. Wintermute’s November 2025 report notes that a return of ETF or DAT flows will be essential for any meaningful ￰8￱ have suffered even steeper ￰9￱ the past week, gaming tokens are down 21% , layer-2s 19% , memecoins 18% , and mid- and small-caps 15–16% . Only AI and DePIN tokens show relative resilience, dropping just 3–4% on the strength of ￰10￱ warn this downturn is not a typical “buy the dip” setup but a broader test of liquidity resilience, worsened by the ongoing ￰11￱ shutdown , which the CBO estimates is erasing $7–14 billion in economic output.

On-chain data shows this fiscal freeze is already constricting Bitcoin’s liquidity ￰12￱ key question now is whether Bitcoin can defend the $100K psychological barrier , or if deteriorating conditions will force a retest of $99K ￰13￱ tuned for live price updates as volatility ￰14￱ tuned for live price updates and real-time market reactions as volatility ￰15￱ Drops Below $103K – Is Sub-$100K Coming?