Ethereum May Need to Reclaim $4,841 to Resume Rally as Oversold RSI Hints at Bounce; Failure Could Pull ETH to $2,750

Ethereum price faces a decisive zone: ETH must reclaim $4,841 to resume its rally toward $5,864; failure risks a correction to $2,750. Short-term momentum hinges on RSI lows, open interest resets and realized-price pressure as traders decide whether to lock ￰0￱ must reclaim $4,841 to reverse the downtrend and target $5,864. ETH’s 4‑hour RSI hit 14.5 — the lowest since April 2025 — hinting at a potential short-term bounce. A whale bought $235.7M in ETH this week and now holds about $19.4M in unrealized losses, underscoring dip-buy ￰1￱ price outlook — ETH must reclaim $4,841 to avoid a drop to $2,750; watch RSI, open interest and whale ￰2￱ analysis ￰3￱ is the current Ethereum price outlook?

Ethereum price is testing a critical inflection zone: reclaiming $4,841 is essential to confirm a bullish reversal toward $5,864; failure risks a pullback to $2,750. Short-term indicators (RSI, open interest) suggest both a possible bounce and the risk of deeper correction depending on ￰4￱ can ETH reclaim $4,841 and what happens if it fails? For ETH to break the downtrend, buying pressure must push price above $4,841 with sustained volume. A decisive close above that level would re-open the path to prior highs near $5,864.

If momentum stalls, on-chain metrics and realized-price pressure increase the likelihood of a corrective move toward $2,750. , "description": "Ethereum price faces a pivotal zone; reclaiming $4,841 is necessary to resume a rally to $5,864 while failure risks a correction to $2,750. RSI and open interest are key.", , "publisher": Why is the $3,800–$4,841 zone critical for ETH? Front-loaded support and resistance define market ￰5￱ $3,800 area represents near-term support while $4,841 is the key breakout ￰6￱ commentary (Ali Charts on X) highlights that a successful reclaim of $4,841 would signal a trend change; failure would amplify sell-side pressure toward $2,750.

Tweet excerpt: ETH must break $4,841 to reverse the downtrend and aim for $5,864. Fail, and a correction to $2,750 comes into ￰7￱ — Ali (@ali_charts) September 26, 2025 Ethereum traded around $3,913 at the time of reporting, a roughly 14% decline over the prior week as volume surged past $57 billion. On-chain metric MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands show ETH between the +0.5σ and +1.0σ bands as of late September 2025, indicating elevated realized-value ￰8￱ does the RSI support a potential reversal? ETH price momentum indicators are ￰9￱ 4-hour Relative Strength Index plunged from 82 on Sept. 13 to 14.5 — the lowest since April 2025.

Historically, similar extreme RSI lows (April and June 2025) preceded meaningful rallies, suggesting a possible short-term bounce if buying volume appears.