TL;DR ETH lost $4,100 support, triggering fears of further downside toward the $2,750 0 bands suggest $4,840 must break to confirm recovery; failure risks deeper 1 action mirrors 2020 fractal, but bulls must reclaim resistance to avoid extended 2 Slips Below Crucial Support Zone Ethereum (ETH) has dropped below the key $4,100 level, breaking down from its recent range and putting bullish momentum on 3 move follows a sharp correction of nearly 20% over the past two 4 the time of writing, ETH trades around $3,900, marking a weekly decline of over 12%. Analyst Daan Crypto Trades noted the importance of the $4,090 level as a cycle high. “ If the weekly closes below the ~$4.1K level, ” he stated, “ watch closely if there’s additional continuation down over the days and weeks following it. ” He added that the current move could represent a false breakout, but confirmation would only come if the price starts grinding back up.) September 26, 2025 Support Retest Around 20-Week MA Michaël van de Poppe identified the current zone between $3,800 and $4,000 as an important area of 5 is now approaching the 20-week moving average, which has often acted as a dynamic support level in previous 6 me, this is the ideal zone to start accumulating positions in $ETH .
It’s a higher timeframe support test and approaching the 20-Week 7 — Michaël van de Poppe (@CryptoMichNL) September 26, 2025 The weekly chart he shared shows a support block that had previously acted as a base for upward 8 the zone holds, it could stabilize the 9 not, lower levels around $2,850 may be 10 Bands Point to Key Resistance and Downside Risk Ali Martinez used the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands to mark the next areas of 11 noted that $4,840 is the critical level to break in order to reverse the current 12 to the MVRV model, a move above this line could lead to a push toward $5,860. On the downside, Ali warned that failure to reclaim this level could bring ETH back to $2,750, aligning with the -0.5σ deviation band.
“Fail, and a correction to $2,750 comes into play,” he 13 currently trades above the MVRV mean at $3,797, but if that level is lost, downside pressure may increase.
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