Crypto markets set odds of XRP hitting $4 before 2026

Prediction market data from Polymarket shows traders assigning some of the lowest odds for XRP to reach the coveted $4 mark by 2026. Specifically, traders have priced in a 21% probability of XRP hitting $4 before January 2026, reflecting moderate optimism, according to data retrieved by Finbold on October ￰0￱ $4 target has gained traction recently, rising 4% in probability over the past few sessions. However, higher thresholds appear less convincing, only 6% expect XRP to reach $6, while 25% see a chance of it touching $3.50. The most likely scenario, with 38% odds, places XRP around $3.20 before the ￰1￱ price prediction.), such approvals can trigger massive institutional inflows and reignite risk appetite, a development that could significantly raise the odds of XRP hitting $4.

XRP price analysis At the time of reporting, XRP was trading at $2.39, down 2.5% in the past 24 hours and over 3% on the ￰2￱ seven-day price chart.) and 200-day SMA ($2.62), indicating a bearish trend and weak momentum across both short- and long-term timeframes. Meanwhile, the 14-day RSI at 39.93 signals a neutral to slightly bearish outlook, not yet oversold but showing fading buying strength. Combined, the SMA and RSI readings suggest XRP could face continued pressure unless it reclaims support above its key moving ￰3￱ image from Shutterstock