Could XRP Hit $200? New Regression Model Sparks Speculation

There is a new mathematical model proposing a future where the price of Ripple’s native XRP token shoots to $200. However, this optimistic forecast clashes with the asset’s present struggle to hold the $3 level, creating a stark divide between theoretical possibility and on-chain reality. A Regression Model Meets Market Reality The model, fronted by analyst EGRAG CRYPTO, used a linear regression model on a logarithmic scale, applying a two-standard deviation channel to XRP’s monthly price ￰0￱ measured its reliability using its R-squared value of 0.84754, indicating a very strong historical correlation between the variables ￰1￱ to the market watcher, XRP has already touched the upper edge of this model three times before, missing once in 2021 but significantly shooting past the forecasted range on another ￰2￱ suggested three possible outcomes for the ￰3￱ first, resulting from a simple hit of the upper band, would put the token at about $27.

And were the asset to repeat a 45% miss witnessed in its 2021 cycle, then EGRAG expects it to move to around $18. However, his most dramatic scenario that would push XRP to $200 involves a 570% overshoot mirroring an event from late ￰4￱ this mathematical optimism may be exciting, the cryptocurrency’s immediate price action tells a different ￰5￱ CryptoPotato’s latest assessment of the market, analyst CryptoVizArt reported that the Ripple token was trading inside a symmetrical triangle, with $3.3 acting as the key barrier and $2.8 the immediate ￰6￱ hesitant price movement is also happening alongside a huge drop in network ￰7￱ data from Glassnode showed active addresses had plummeted to just 38,303 as of August 27, down dramatically from spikes above 500,000 seen in ￰8￱ Movements and Outlook At the time of this writing, XRP was changing hands at around $3.00 per CoinGecko, showing marginal 24-hour gains of 0.2%.

In that time, it held within a narrow range between $2.96 and $3.04, reflecting subdued ￰9￱ the weekly scale, it oscillated between $2.81 and $3.11, consistently failing to break free from the $3.1 to $3.3 resistance band. However, it did better in that period, adding 3.6% to its value, even though it remains down 7.3% over the previous fortnight. meanwhile, XRP’s 30-day performance is still positive at 4.9%, while over the last year, it has soared more than 420%, thanks in part to its July 18 all-time high of $3.65. For the $200 forecast to become a reality, it would not only require a historical anomaly but also a fundamental shift in network adoption and market structure that current data does not ￰10￱ now, the model provides a tantalizing narrative, but the market will demand proof.