Bullish or Bearish on BTC: Five updates that could affect markets this week

Bitcoin began the week with a strong comeback after weathering its largest-ever liquidation day, giving traders a brief sense of relief by rebounding to $116,000. However, this week’s tense wait for economic data, held up by a US government shutdown, could make or break the ￰0￱ are five things investors should keep an eye on in the coming days: Is the bull market still on after record liquidation Bitcoin’s price jumped back to $114,000 on Monday, a 3.9% recovery from Friday’s lows of $109,700. According to data from CoinGecko, the king coin went up as high as $116,000 during the day after bouncing back from a downward spiral around the weekly close, with market conditions turning against overleveraged ￰1￱ to CryptoQuant contributor ArabChain, liquidity stress on Binance reached its highest levels since the start of ￰2￱ analyst cited exchange data showing daily trading volume topping 32,500 Bitcoin while the price stabilized around $113,000, and an unusually high liquidity stress ratio stood at ￰3￱ market was seemingly unable to absorb large orders without significant price swings, which ArabChain explained was triggered by mass stop-loss activations and liquidation of leveraged positions en ￰4￱ had briefly touched $122,000–$123,000 early Friday, before heavy selling pressure pushed prices toward the $110,000–$112,000 ￰5￱ analyst Rekt Capital said on X that Bitcoin had rebounded from a “Higher Low” level, the same area that supported a previous reversal, and closed above $114,300.

“On the previous five times this has happened, Bitcoin rallied to at least $117,300,” he said, hinting that the coin could continue its upward ￰6￱ economic data delays due to shutdown, Powell’s speech incoming Crypto traders and stock markets are preparing for a word from the US central bank during the three-week-long US federal government shutdown . A hiatus in the federal arm of the government has delayed the release of key economic reports, including wholesale inflation, retail sales, and housing ￰7￱ fear the deadlock will lead to policymaking paralysis ahead of the Federal Reserve’s next ￰8￱ Friday, President Donald Trump responded to China’s restrictions on rare earth exports by announcing 100% tariffs on imports from the Asian country, which started a sell-off in equities, debt, commodities, and risky ￰9￱ Chair Jerome Powell is scheduled to speak at the NABE annual meeting in Philadelphia on Tuesday, with markets eager for clues about the central bank’s next ￰10￱ to CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, traders almost unanimously expect a 0.25% rate cut at the Fed’s October 29 meeting.

Binance: Sellers still dominant after market rebound Even after Bitcoin traced its way back to prices above $114,000, Binance reserves data shows sellers are still in control of the ￰11￱ reported that the exchange recorded significant swings in Taker Volume activity over the past 48 hours, a time when traders were locked in a battle for short-term momentum. Binance’s Taker Imbalance% indicator was negative on Friday, through the weekend, and into midday on Sunday due to persistent selling ￰12￱ noted that slight positive readings yesterday could mean investors’ buying interest started to reappear. Still, trading volume on the buy side is relatively low compared to the heavy selling earlier in the ￰13￱ the time of this publication, Bitcoin is consolidating below $118,000, lacking the volume strength necessary for a sustained ￰14￱ CryptoQuant analyst Frank A.

Fetter, implied volatility had also surged to its highest levels since April, a time marred with tariff-induced “Liberation Day” policies that spread uncertainty in global ￰15￱ implied volatility just spiked: the market is now pricing in larger potential moves ahead. Finally. $BTC ￰16￱ — Frank (@FrankAFetter) October 12, 2025 “BTC implied volatility just ￰17￱ market is now pricing in larger potential moves ahead. Finally,” Fetter wrote on ￰18￱ equities in recovery mode, earnings season start US stock futures were up 1.3%, while the Nasdaq 100 gained 1.9% and the Dow Jones rose more than 400 points, per data from ￰19￱ S&P’s benchmark index, the US500, reached 6,627 points in Monday’s pre-market session, advancing 1.14% from the prior ￰20￱ 10% of S&P 500 companies are set to report third-quarter earnings this week, including JPMorgan Chase, Wells Fargo, Goldman Sachs, BlackRock, and Citigroup, with additional results expected from Bank of America, Morgan Stanley, and ￰21￱ later in the ￰22￱ and manufacturing giant TSMC, the world’s largest semiconductor producer, will report earnings Thursday following a 40% revenue surge in the first half of ￰23￱ maker ASML releases results on Wednesday on the backdrop of new trade barriers from the Trump ￰24￱ buy the dip, retail traders react Institutional investors appear to be treating Bitcoin’s crash as a buying ￰25￱ from CryptoQuant shows the Coinbase Premium Index, which tracks the price difference between USD pairs on Coinbase and USDT pairs on Binance, reached 0.182 on October 10, its highest level in 19 ￰26￱ Bitcoin Premium.