Bitcoin is trading above the $115,000 mark as markets brace for tomorrow’s critical decision from the US Federal 0 week promises to be decisive, as the outcome of the Fed meeting will provide a clearer macroeconomic picture, shaping the outlook for risk assets, including 1 Reading: Bitcoin Consolidates Above $115K As Market Eyes Fed’s Sept 17 Policy Move Investors are widely expecting an interest rate cut, but uncertainty remains over the scale and pace of policy easing. A 25-basis-point cut could be seen as a measured pivot, signaling confidence in a controlled economic 2 contrast, more aggressive action might spark concerns about deeper issues in the US economy, injecting fresh volatility into 3 rates, attention will also turn to any hints about quantitative easing policies, which many analysts believe could play a pivotal role in fueling liquidity flows into risk 4 Bitcoin, the stakes are 5 recent volatility, the cryptocurrency has held key levels, supported by structural demand and growing institutional 6 to top analyst Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Risk Index is currently at a low level, indicating a relatively calm environment with limited probability of sharp pullbacks or 7 backdrop offers bulls a cushion, but the Fed’s decision could quickly shift the 8 Risk Index Signals Calm Before Fed Decision According to Axel Adler, the Bitcoin Risk Index offers a clear view of the market’s underlying 9 higher the index, the more dangerous the configuration relative to the past three years, as it signals increased probability of rapid pullbacks or liquidations.
Currently, the index sits at just 23%, a relatively low level that suggests the market environment is calm and the probability of sharp drops remains 10 points out that a similar setup unfolded between September and December 2023, when the index stayed subdued, allowing Bitcoin to gradually build 11 that period, volatility was limited, and the calm conditions set the foundation for a continuation of the bullish 12 historical parallel reinforces the idea that the current environment may be favorable for sustained growth if external shocks are avoided. Still, Adler notes that the immediate risk lies in macroeconomic 13 Jerome Powell and the Federal Reserve set to announce their latest decision tomorrow, investors remain 14 even remarked that he hopes there won’t be any surprises from Powell, as unexpected moves could quickly disrupt the calm 15 the market braces for volatility, many analysts believe Bitcoin could surge in the coming 16 risk indicators low, exchange supply tightening, and institutional demand resilient, conditions appear supportive for further upside once clarity from the Fed 17 Reading: Bitcoin Spot Trading Volumes Decline To $322B: Market Shifts To HODL Mode Price Action Details: Holding Key Demand Bitcoin is trading at $115,739 after a steady recovery from early September lows, showing resilience as it approaches a decisive 18 chart highlights that BTC is holding above the 50-day (blue) and 200-day (red) moving averages, while pressing against the 100-day SMA (green), which sits near current levels at $114,417.
This area is proving to be a pivotal battleground for bulls and bears 19 intraday volatility, BTC has managed to stay above the critical $114,500–$115,000 support zone, showing demand from buyers whenever the price 20 next significant resistance lies near $123,217, the previous peak and key psychological barrier that bulls must reclaim to confirm a breakout toward $125,000 and 21 Reading: Three Whales Buy $205M Ethereum From FalconX: Institutional Flows Accelerate Momentum remains cautious but 22 higher lows formed since early September signal that buyers are gradually absorbing supply, even as the market faces macroeconomic uncertainty ahead of the Fed’s interest rate decision tomorrow.
A dovish outcome could fuel further upside, while a hawkish surprise risks pulling BTC back toward $112,000. Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
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