Skip to content
October 21, 2025Bitcoinist logoBitcoinist

Bitcoin On-Chain Alert: BTC MVRV Ratio Breaks Below 365-Day Average – Here’s What This Means

Despite a sudden rebound on Monday, the price of Bitcoin has now fallen below the key $110,000 level after hitting as high as $113,000 last ￰0￱ BTC’s price trajectory turns bearish once again, the market seems to be in a highly cautious state, as indicated by a drop below BTC’s MVRV ￰1￱ Sentiment Shifting After A Drop In Bitcoin MVRV? While Bitcoin’s price is showcasing bullish action, key on-chain metrics are currently flashing a potential warning sign in its market ￰2￱ most recent warning signal comes from the Bitcoin Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. CryptoQuant, a leading on-chain data analytics platform, has shared an update revealing that Bitcoin’s on-chain landscape is flashing caution as the MVRV metric has fallen below its 365-day ￰3￱ development hints at a possible shift in market dynamics and ￰4￱ the quick-take post, ShayanMarkets highlighted that the key metric is now positioned near the 1.9 level, slightly below its 365-day moving ￰5￱ decrease has come before significant turning points, either indicating prime accumulation zones or opening the door for more profound ￰6￱ noted that every time the ratio fell below the 365 SMA in the past, it indicated a local bottom indication and a buying opportunity .

A similar scenario was observed during the middle of 2021, June 2022, and early ￰7￱ the scenario reappearing, it simply implies that the market is once again entering an undervaluation ￰8￱ undervaluation phase represents a period where long-term Bitcoin holders usually start to build up their ￰9￱ is important to note that the MVRV Ratio’s position below its long-term average indicates a decline in excessive speculation and an increase in long-term ￰10￱ a pattern aligns with the technical reaction from the institutional demand ￰11￱ the metric start to move upward from current levels, it could serve as confirmation that the recent sell-off was a cyclical bottom ￰12￱ a result, the renewed bullish phase into the fourth quarter of this year may receive additional support from the development.

BTC’s Dropped Triggers Robust De-Risking After examining several crucial metrics, Glassnode, a financial and data analytics platform, disclosed a highly cautious Bitcoin market ￰13￱ the decline from $115,000 to $104,000 within 4 days, a sharp de-risking was ignited across the ￰14￱ though BTC later rebounded to $111,000, positioning is still conservative, and market sentiment remained ￰15￱ the same time, off-chain signals continue to show weakness around the board. Currently, activity in ETFs , futures, options, and spots is all heading downward, and the majority of indicators are at historically low ￰16￱ addition, on-chain activity is exhibiting mixed signals, causing indecision in the ￰17￱ there are still large inflows of capital, profitability is being squeezed, and fundamentals are ￰18￱ disparity shows that after last week’s flush, the market is torn between caution and conviction.

Bitcoinist logo
Bitcoinist

Latest news and analysis from Bitcoinist

Binance Founder CZ Speaks for the First Time Following the Major Drop in Gold and the Rally in Bitcoin

Binance Founder CZ Speaks for the First Time Following the Major Drop in Gold and the Rally in Bitcoin

Binance founder Changpeng Zhao (CZ) made his first comment after the decline in gold and silver prices today, and the start of a truly impressive rally in Bitcoin. In the last 24 hours, the price of g...

BitcoinSistemi logoBitcoinSistemi
1 min
Bitcoin Rises Near Record as Gold Plunges, Hinting at Investor Risk Shift

Bitcoin Rises Near Record as Gold Plunges, Hinting at Investor Risk Shift

Bitcoin’s price rose to around $112,000 on Tuesday, up 1% daily, as gold plunged 5.5% to $4,118 per ounce amid easing U.S.-China trade tensions and strong Wall Street earnings. This...

CoinOtag logoCoinOtag
1 min
When is the Next Bear Market and What Does Macro Metrics Reveals? Expert Takes Deep Dive

When is the Next Bear Market and What Does Macro Metrics Reveals? Expert Takes Deep Dive

Market analyst João Wedson believes that macroeconomic factors could set the stage for the next global bear market as early as 2026....

ZyCrypto logoZyCrypto
1 min