Why $50 XRP By December 2025 Isn’t ‘Hopium’ If ETFs Get Greenlight: Analyst

XRP’s price outlook is in focus as the US Securities and Exchange Commission lines up decisions on multiple spot ETF applications in late October ￰0￱ say the outcome of that cluster could decide whether billions of dollars in institutional funds flow into the token before ￰1￱ Reading: American Bitcoin, Backed By Trump, Ends Nasdaq Debut Up 17% Filings Point To October Decision Reports show that six issuers have active S-1 filings or amendments waiting for ￰2￱ list includes Bitwise, WisdomTree, 21Shares, Canary Capital, CoinShares, and Franklin ￰3￱ timing of these filings, following the SEC’s dismissal of its case against Ripple, has raised expectations that issuers are preparing for a launch window tied to October’s ￰4￱ Shock Could Stress Supply Industry insiders project that more than $5 billion could enter through spot ETFs in the first month ￰5￱ run as high as $10–18 billion by the end of 2025 if approvals are granted and appetite is strong.

XRP’s effective supply is limited, with about 35 billion tokens still locked in escrow and much of the circulating amount held by exchanges and large ￰6￱ thin float means a sudden demand wave could trigger sharp price ￰7￱ Upbeat About A $50 Target Veteran Bitcoin investor Pumpius has tied these supply and demand pressures to a bold ￰8￱ believes that if ETFs launch in the fourth quarter and inflows reach $10–18 billion, XRP could climb to $50 by December 2025 — and it is not “hopium“. From today’s price of $2.80, that would be a 1,680% rise, lifting market capitalization from $168 billion to about $3 ￰9￱ says the setup mirrors Bitcoin and Ethereum before their ETF approvals, pointing to the recent launch of XRP futures on CME and Coinbase Derivatives as proof that institutional infrastructure is already in place. 🚨 If the SEC approves all spot XRP ETFs by October, the path to $50 by December ’25 isn’t hopium, it’s math + market ￰10￱ this before everyone else catches on. 🧵👇 ￰11￱ — Pumpius (@pumpius) September 3, 2025 Skepticism Over The Timeline Many market participants have pushed back against the forecast, arguing that the timeline is too short for XRP to grow that ￰12￱ on social platforms point out the difficulty of scaling from a $168 billion market to $3 trillion in just over a ￰13￱ also question whether early ETF inflows will meet the higher-end projections cited by ￰14￱ Reading: MemeCore Explodes 3,800% For ATH — But Is A Collapse Around The Corner?

What Approval Would Mean Should the SEC approve the filings in October, ETFs could channel regulated exposure for pensions, wealth managers, RIAs, and corporate ￰15￱ would test XRP’s liquidity, potentially forcing larger holders to adjust positions as new demand ￰16￱ the applications are denied, expectations for a breakout rally would likely be pushed further ￰17￱ now, XRP continues to trade at $2.84. With the SEC’s October cluster approaching, traders are weighing whether the path to $50 is a realistic outcome or just a bold scenario tied to one investor’s high-stakes ￰18￱ image from Meta, chart from TradingView