Week Ahead in Crypto: Key Events to Watch (Aug 25 – 31, 2025)

￰0￱ Data: Inflation & Growth in Focus Core PCE (Fri, Aug 29) – The Federal Reserve’s preferred inflation gauge. A hotter-than-expected print could reignite rate-hike fears, while softer data may boost risk ￰1￱ markets often track the dollar and Treasury yields closely—PCE surprises tend to ripple into BTC and ￰2￱ (Thu, Aug 28) – The second Q2 estimate will provide clarity on growth ￰3￱ growth can push yields higher, weighing on risk assets, while weakness may revive liquidity ￰4￱ data: Durable goods (Tue), Consumer Confidence (Tue). Together, they help frame the macro backdrop that dictates risk ￰5￱ it matters for crypto: Macro liquidity remains a core ￰6￱ inflation and weaker growth expectations typically support a “risk-on” move, giving crypto room to ￰7￱ data, in contrast, can fuel fears of tighter policy, putting pressure on digital ￰8￱ PMIs: Weekend Surprise Risk China Manufacturing & Services PMIs (Sun, Aug 31, Asia open) These arrive just before Monday trading and can jolt markets if they miss ￰9￱ data often sparks concerns about global growth, weighing on commodities, equities, and indirectly ￰10￱ it matters for crypto: Asian liquidity often sets the tone early in the week.

A disappointing PMI can trigger risk-off flows, while strong readings may boost confidence and provide support for BTC/ETH.3. Nvidia Earnings: AI-Liquidity Sentiment Check Wed, Aug 27 – Nvidia reports Q2 ￰11￱ recent years, Nvidia has become a symbol of AI-fueled growth and liquidity in ￰12￱ performance frequently spills into tech stocks and broader risk ￰13￱ it matters for crypto: Strong Nvidia earnings can reinforce the “AI + tech growth” narrative that often lifts crypto alongside equities. Conversely, a miss could drain enthusiasm across risk ￰14￱ Unlocks: Lighter but Still Notable August token unlocks are running ~50% lighter vs July , but investors should note: Echelon Prime (PRIME) begins founder unlocks on Sun, Aug 31 , continuing ￰15￱ in the month, large unlocks (SUI, APT, ARB, AVAX) have already absorbed market ￰16￱ it matters for crypto: While this week’s unlocks are smaller, any concentrated selling pressure in thin markets can amplify volatility in those specific ￰17￱ Updates: SEC Delays, No Near-Term Decisions The SEC recently delayed multiple ETF rulings (including Solana, XRP, and Trump Media’s Bitcoin+Ethereum ETF) until October ￰18￱ removes a binary regulatory catalyst from this week’s ￰19￱ it matters for crypto: The absence of near-term ETF approvals means the market will lean more heavily on macro drivers and ￰20￱ Backdrop: Post-Flash Drop Positioning This week begins after a weekend flash crash in crypto markets , triggered by a mix of macro jitters and large whale ￰21￱ will be watching whether dip-buyers step in or if deleveraging continues into the heavy macro ￰22￱ Line Key Macro Drivers: ￰23￱ (Fri), GDP (Thu), China PMIs (Sun).

Equity Spillovers: Nvidia earnings (Wed). Crypto-Specific Flows: Token unlocks (lighter, but PRIME begins). Regulation: SEC decisions pushed out to ￰24￱ macro still the dominant force, crypto traders should be prepared for volatility spikes around data releases and earnings. BTC.

D and ETH/BTC spreads remain critical pairs to watch for capital rotation signals.