Traders on Kalshi: Odds of XRP Hitting $4 or Above This Year Have Fallen

Market sentiment around XRP has turned cautious as traders on Kalshi, a regulated event trading exchange, reduced the probability of the cryptocurrency reaching $4 or higher this year to 20%. The data was shared by Whale Insider (@WhaleInsider), a crypto commentator on X, who posted an image of the Kalshi market showing “Yes 20%” beside the question of whether XRP would end the year at $4 or ￰0￱ decline in trader confidence comes after a period of volatility that followed XRP’s sharp surge to record highs in ￰1￱ token reached a peak of $3.65 that month, following a rally fueled by optimism over regulatory progress in the ￰2￱ speculation surrounding potential spot crypto ETFs.

However, momentum has since ￰3￱ IN: Odds of $XRP hitting $4 or above this year have fallen to 20%, per traders on ￰4￱ — Whale Insider (@WhaleInsider) October 21, 2025 Sharp Decline From July Highs XRP currently trades around $2.34, according to recent market ￰5￱ current level represents a decline of more than 35% from its July peak, showing that the asset has been unable to sustain the enthusiasm that pushed it to its all-time ￰6￱ that strong rally, selling pressure built as traders took profits and enthusiasm cooled in the absence of concrete regulatory or product ￰7￱ sell-offs also contributed to XRP’s decline, and many other top assets struggled as the broader market experienced ￰8￱ loss of upward momentum has changed the short-term outlook for many investors.

A 20% probability on Kalshi reflects more skepticism, indicating that traders see limited near-term catalysts capable of driving XRP above $4 before ￰9￱ are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 ETF Progress but No Approval Yet The state of spot XRP ETFs continues to influence sentiment across the digital asset ￰10￱ the ￰11￱ and Exchange Commission (SEC) has taken steps toward simplifying the approval process for spot crypto exchange-traded products, a specific spot XRP ETF has not been approved or ￰12￱ SEC’s new framework, introduced in September, allows exchanges to list certain spot-based crypto products under standardized rules , which could expedite future ￰13￱ the regulatory progress, XRP has yet to see a direct ￰14￱ appear to be waiting for a confirmed ETF launch or a broader shift in investor appetite before re-entering the market with ￰15￱ now, traders on Kalshi assign just a one-in-five chance that XRP will hit $4 or above this ￰16￱ lack of a spot ETF for XRP, combined with the digital asset’s recent downturn , suggests that institutional participation remains muted, and many retail investors are ￰17￱ : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial ￰18￱ views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s ￰19￱ are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment ￰20￱ action taken by the reader is strictly at their own ￰21￱ Tabloid is not responsible for any financial ￰22￱ us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News