Polymarket Releases Updated Odds for XRP ETF Approval In 2025

A post shared by prominent XRP advocate JackTheRippler on X has put the spotlight on fresh market data: prediction platform Polymarket now gives XRP a 94% chance of securing approval for a spot exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States before the end of ￰0￱ figure underscores the growing conviction among traders and investors that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) will greenlight at least one XRP-based ETF within the current cycle. A Surge in Market Confidence Polymarket’s odds did not leap to 94% ￰1￱ in 2025, the market placed XRP ETF approval in the low double digits, reflecting skepticism about regulatory ￰2￱ the year progressed, however, odds surged steadily into the 70–90% range before reaching the current ￰3￱ upward momentum mirrors a shift in sentiment across financial markets, where confidence in crypto ETFs has risen dramatically following earlier approvals for Bitcoin and Ethereum products. #XRP ETF Approval Odds Soar To 94%! ￰4￱ — JackTheRippler © (@RippleXrpie) September 6, 2025 The SEC’s Decision Window The growing optimism is tied to the SEC’s regulatory ￰5￱ issuers have filed proposals for a spot XRP ETF, with statutory deadlines now clustering in October 2025 after a series of ￰6￱ deadlines force the SEC to issue decisions within a defined period, effectively narrowing the timeline for when an approval or rejection must ￰7￱ watchers believe the regulator’s softened stance on digital asset ETFs makes approval increasingly likely, a sentiment Polymarket participants are clearly pricing ￰8￱ Demand Driving Expectations Another driver of these soaring odds is the belief that an XRP ETF could unlock billions in institutional ￰9￱ project that if approved, a spot XRP ETF could attract at least $5 billion in its early trading phase, as institutional investors and traditional brokerage clients would gain a straightforward way to access the ￰10￱ are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Such an influx of capital would not only boost XRP’s market profile but also provide a significant milestone for broader digital asset ￰11￱ expectation of this scale of demand explains why traders on Polymarket are backing approval with near ￰12￱ Amid Optimism Despite the bullish market signal, it is important to note that Polymarket’s 94% figure represents collective sentiment rather than a regulatory ￰13￱ SEC remains the ultimate decision-maker, and approval hinges on how it evaluates market structure, investor protections, and compliance measures put forward by ￰14￱ prediction markets are often insightful indicators, they are not substitutes for official rulings.

Polymarket’s latest odds highlight a striking level of confidence in XRP’s regulatory ￰15￱ deadlines approaching and institutional demand building, the stage is set for a pivotal decision by the ￰16￱ XRP holders and market observers, the 94% probability figure is a reminder of how rapidly expectations have shifted in 2025. Still, as history has shown, optimism in prediction markets must always be weighed against the realities of regulatory ￰17￱ : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial ￰18￱ views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s ￰19￱ are urged to do in-depth research before making any investment ￰20￱ action taken by the reader is strictly at their own ￰21￱ Tabloid is not responsible for any financial ￰22￱ us on Twitter , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News