PlanB Expects a Later Bitcoin Cycle Peak and Traders Are Split

Crypto analyst PlanB commented on forecasts regarding a possible peak in Bitcoin’s price, stating that it could occur in 2026–2028. The expert noted that some traders believe the local top has already been reached at $126,000 and expect a drop below $100,000 in 2026. However, PlanB disagrees with this ￰0￱ reiterated that although the four-year halving cycle does influence the market, making predictions based solely on it is a ￰1￱ to the analyst, the Stock-to-Flow model indicates the average price of an asset over the cycle, not its peak or ￰2￱ the previous three cycles, the period of six months before the halving and eighteen months after it was indeed profitable, but this is not enough for a reliable forecast, the expert ￰3￱ suggested that Bitcoin’s peak may not occur in 2025, but instead in 2026, 2027, or even ￰4￱ believes this will depend on a fundamental “phase transformation” — a market shift that has not yet occurred in the current ￰5￱ the technical signals that PlanB considers critical for the start of a “big jump” are: RSI has not yet reached 80 The realized price has not deviated from the 200-week moving average Outlook for the Coming Cycle He added that either the “big jump” is still ahead, or the market has transitioned to a more stable regime dominated by institutions and ￰6￱ both cases, he believes this is positive for Bitcoin, and a major bear market without a strong upward move is ￰7￱ a reminder, Citigroup previously stated that Bitcoin remains dependent on the stock market.