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September 21, 2025Seeking Alpha logoSeeking Alpha

FETH: The Regulated Bridge To Ethereum (Technical Analysis)

Summary Fidelity Ethereum Fund offers direct exposure to Ethereum, tracking its price 1:1, minus a 0.25% annual expense ￰0￱ benefits from Ethereum's current bullish trend, with technical analysis indicating potential for further upside and new price discovery ￰1￱ accumulation zones for FETH are identified between $3,200-$3,700, providing strong support and attractive entry points during ￰2￱ or accumulate FETH on dips; take profits near $6,700-$7,200, aligning with Fibonacci targets and historical profit-taking ￰3￱ In today’s article, we’ll look at the Fidelity Ethereum Fund ( FETH ), which is one of the first ether spot ETPs/ETFs in the U. S., launched by Fidelity in ￰4￱ objective of this ETF is to reflect the valuation of the cryptocurrency Ethereum, discounting expenses (commission of 0.25% per year).

To do this, they directly acquire Ethereum and guard it through Fidelity Digital Assets, following a 1:1 relationship with the ￰5￱ this way, upward or downward movements in the underlying will determine the gains or losses of those who invest in the ￰6￱ is important to highlight for the investor that currently there are no ways to execute staking through the ETF ￰7￱ - Technical Point of View TradingView In this graph, we can see that Ethereum was already on an upward trend after soil formation and accumulation in September ￰8￱ trend was interrupted by a “risk-off” episode following the announcements of President Trump’s tariff policies, when the market feared the possibility of inflationary upswings and a deterioration in the labor market.

Today, Ethereum's momentum is clearly bullish: structure of highs and lows higher than the previous ones, with two breakdowns of resistors (now supports) of significant volume, in mid-July and early August, which were successfully retested, achieving a new historical ￰9￱ which, a moment of “calm” has been preceded by swinging the price 15% wide from the all-time ￰10￱ only at the technical section, from Node Analytica in the short and medium term (6 months), we continue to conclude that the upward trend has not ended yet and that there are new price zones to be ￰11￱ this scenario we propose the purchase or reentry in setbacks, taking advantage of volatility in the short term and setting a target profit ￰12￱ red lines on the graph represent the levels that the price could ￰13￱ case of breaks, both E1 and E2 would be good zones to accumulate more ￰14￱ the top, the target level for profit taking would be in the area within the range of 6700-7200: area aligned with 161.8% of Fibonacci, where in mature trends important profit taking is ￰15￱ - Market Fundamental CoinGlass Next, we will analyse the graph of the net inflows and outflows of the vehicle in ￰16￱ graph suggests two clear areas where investors have accumulated large amounts: 3,700-3,200 ￰17￱ reinforce the E1 purchasing zone theory, the inflow of capital into these zones usually acts as a support because it represents the price realized in the short term for investors.

So, when these setbacks occur within an upward trend, investors tend to defend these entry points, and this demand drives creations by authorized participants, which helps to stabilize the spot and ETF ￰18￱ the event of a setback, however, this cluster will be an area in which to pay attention to inflows and outflows to see how the market ￰19￱ these investors maintain confidence in the trend and the asset by holding the position, or conversely, the unrealized losses will exert sufficient pressure for a cluster capitulation event to ￰20￱ CoinGlass To this day, open interest remains high. However, it has relented from the last peaks, recently marking a new record high, and has been consolidating at these levels for some ￰21￱ consider a break-even scenario, we will review the sequence of daily ￰22￱ second graph confirms that we come from several episodes of very large liquidations, both long and ￰23￱ recent weeks, except for the 12th day that a significant liquidation event did occur, the pace is more condensed within the deviations of the historical ￰24￱ current structure of IO and settlement volume often represents periods of calm that coincide with phases of redistribution or accumulation: the price moves in range, weak hands turn to the strong, and the market takes air to build the basis for the next ￰25￱ the current structure as a reference, it can be deduced that we are in a period of accumulation and forming the basis for a new upward ￰26￱ My conclusion, after this analysis, is to keep the asset if you have it in your ￰27￱ patiently, see if there are episodes of downward volatility, to buy back at commented ￰28￱ you do not have a portfolio, we recommend following the same ￰29￱ case the asset breaks up, it would only sell at the strength levels described in this ￰30￱ you for reading.

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