Summary Ethereum trades near $4,040 after breaking below key support 0 at 26.9 signals oversold conditions, but bearish momentum still 1 outflows of $159.5M suggest accumulation, though near-term sentiment remains 2 Jainam Mehta Ethereum (ETH-USD) extended its decline on Thursday, trading near $4,040 after breaking through multiple support levels in a sharp 3 downturn highlights how technical weakness, cautious sentiment, and risk-off flows across broader markets have combined to weigh on the world’s second-largest 4 4-hour chart shows ETH falling out of its descending channel that has capped price since 5 drop through $4,180 and $4,100 pushed price briefly to the $4,000 handle before a modest 6 resistance now sits at $4,100–$4,180, where former support has flipped into 7 ETH reclaims this zone, momentum remains tilted 8 Price Dynamics () RSI at 26.9 indicates heavily oversold conditions, underscoring the intensity of recent 9 this leaves scope for a short-term relief rally, upside may struggle to extend beyond the 20-EMA near $4,179 without stronger buying 10 the downside, failure to hold $4,000 risks exposing the $3,900–$3,850 cluster, a critical support zone for traders.
On-chain flows show heavy withdrawals Exchange data from September 25 recorded net outflows of $159.5 million in ETH, signaling strong withdrawals from 11 outflows often suggest investors are shifting tokens to long-term storage, reducing immediate selling pressure. However, the simultaneous price decline shows that confidence has not fully returned, with broader market caution limiting upside 12 divergence—large withdrawals alongside falling price—points to accumulation by longer-term holders even as short-term sentiment remains 13 has thinned during the sell-off, leaving Ethereum vulnerable to further volatility in the near 14 pressures reinforce caution Ethereum’s decline comes against a backdrop of global macro 15 questions around 16 policy, combined with rising risk aversion across equities and crypto, have weighed heavily on digital 17 move is also consistent with a broad correction across major altcoins, underscoring that the pressure is market-wide rather than isolated to 18 near-term weakness, Ethereum’s longer-term narrative remains 19 upgrades continue to improve network efficiency, while institutional interest through ETF-related developments highlights persistent 20 factors suggest that while the immediate trend is under strain, structural drivers of growth remain in 21 Ethereum’s near-term trajectory depends on its ability to defend the $4,000 level.
A rebound supported by oversold RSI could stabilize price, but a decisive reclaim of $4,180 will be needed to re-establish 22 to hold above $4,000 risks triggering a deeper move toward $3,850. Previously, we discussed how Ethereum was approaching a fragile technical phase , with the $4,180 cluster serving as critical 23 outlook now shifts, as the level has flipped into resistance and the market is testing $4,000 for 24 will be watching whether oversold conditions invite stronger bids or if bearish momentum extends into the upper $3,800s. This material may contain third-party opinions; none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our 25 we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity , this post may contain references to products from our 26 Post
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