Bitcoin Price Is Not The Best Way To Measure The Cycle; Pundit Reveals A Stronger Factor

The Bitcoin price action has long been used as the standard measurement of its market ￰0￱ price has served as a convenient benchmark, a crypto analyst argues that it may not be the most reliable tool for understanding the cycle. Instead, his analysis points to a stronger factor that could serve as a better framework for measuring Bitcoin’s market ￰1￱ Proves More Reliable Than Bitcoin Price Bitcoin enthusiasts often focus on price as the ultimate measure of progress in a market cycle, but crypto analyst Christian Chifoi has presented a different perspective that challenges conventional ￰2￱ his latest analysis on X social media, Chifoi explained that focusing solely on BTC’s four-year cycle or short-term gains is like watching the market through a narrow ￰3￱ argues that the true driver of the cryptocurrency’s trajectory is not price but ￰4￱ examining Bitcoin’s historical movements , Chifoi emphasized that the market follows a structural rhythm that goes beyond mere price ￰5￱ noted the significance of the “SHMITA years,” pointing to 2014-2015 and 2021-2022 as pivotal moments in the cryptocurrency’s ￰6￱ his calculations, the next major inflection is expected around 2028/2029, occurring at a 2,550-day ￰7￱ framework places great emphasis on time as the primary variable, while price is simply a reflection that unfolds after the passage of ￰8￱ Chifoi’s view, “time > price” is the correct equation for compounding wealth over multiple ￰9￱ ahead, the analyst sees two possible scenarios for Bitcoin’s next major ￰10￱ first possibility is an early blow-off top in 2028, followed by a sharp cyclical ￰11￱ alternative scenario mirrors the 2021 cycle , where BTC peaked early in the year, then went through a prolonged distribution phase lasting 8-10 ￰12￱ it remains uncertain which outcome will play out, Chifoi stressed that “time will show the price,” underscoring that the intermissions between cycles are just as crucial as the market tops and ￰13￱ For The Next Altcoin Season Beyond Bitcoin, Chifoi strongly emphasized the altcoin market in his ￰14￱ crypto analyst predicts the market could experience another explosive altcoin season in the 2028/2029 window.

However, he also cautioned that the market could undergo a necessary cleansing phase before the altcoin season ￰15￱ shakeout period, or “intermission,” is expected to eliminate weaker projects, leaving space for stronger, more resilient altcoins to dominate the next ￰16￱ prepare for this, Chifoi revealed his personal strategy of maintaining 20% of his holdings in cash while gradually building his positions further during the intermission ￰17￱ reasoning is rooted in the same principle of prioritizing time over price when measuring the Bitcoin market ￰18￱ positioning early, the market expert believes that investors could maximize their exposure to the next major cycle without exhausting themselves in short-term market chases .