Skip to content
October 14, 2025NewsBTC logoNewsBTC

Bitcoin Direction Still Unclear: Analyst Says Watch These Key Charts

An analyst has revealed the key Bitcoin charts that could be to keep an eye on while Bitcoin is slowly making recovery from its latest ￰0￱ Bitcoin Charts Could Be Ones To Watch In a shock to the market, Bitcoin ended last week with a steep crash, falling from above $122,000 to below $110,000. The coin managed to make some recovery on Sunday, and that rebound has held so far into ￰1￱ Reading: XRP Whales Are Selling: $50 Million Exiting Wallets Every Day However, while BTC appears to be rebuilding its structure, its direction remains unclear, as noted by CryptoQuant community analyst Maartunn in an X ￰2￱ has shared a few key charts that could determine whether the recovery will hold or fade.

First, the analyst has revealed a chart that points out a similarity between the recent Bitcoin price action and the November 2021 bull market ￰3￱ displayed in the above graph, BTC broke above its weekly resistance with the recent price rally, but immediately fell below the line after the crash. A similar failed breakout also took place back in November ￰4￱ to Maartunn, such a trend typically signals exhaustion. On-chain data also suggests the cryptocurrency is currently trapped below a notable resistance level, as the chart for the UPRD ￰5￱ UTXO Realized Price Distribution (URPD) here is an indicator that tells us about the amount of Bitcoin that was last purchased/transferred at the various price levels that the asset has visited in its ￰6￱ the metric’s chart, it’s visible that a significant amount of supply has its cost basis between $117,500 to $120,000.

The holders of these coins would naturally be underwater right now, so there is a chance that if BTC recovers to their break-even level, they might panic sell, fearing going into losses ￰7￱ the scale of the supply involved, selling pressure of this kind could be notable on a retest of the range, potentially making it a major resistance barrier for the asset. A support level that could be key is the average cost basis or Realized Price of the short-term holders (STHs). The line has historically helped the asset find a rebound during bullish trends, with three instances of the trend occurring within the last six weeks ￰8￱ analyst has warned, however, that conviction among the cohort is ￰9￱ Reading: Bitcoin Investors Pivoting To Accumulation, But Mega Whales Are Still Selling The Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Ratio suggests profitability among the Bitcoin STHs has been following a long-term decline, with the boundary level of 1 again being retested.

“If this level breaks, expect ￰10￱ it holds, it confirms demand — but manage risk accordingly!” noted Maartunn in the ￰11￱ Price At the time of writing, Bitcoin is floating around $114,100, down over 8% in the last seven ￰12￱ image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant. com, charts from ￰13￱

NewsBTC logo
NewsBTC

Latest news and analysis from NewsBTC

Asia Morning Briefing: China Renaissance’s BNB Treasury Highlights a Shift in Asia’s Crypto Playbook

Asia Morning Briefing: China Renaissance’s BNB Treasury Highlights a Shift in Asia’s Crypto Playbook

Enflux says the $600 million plan reflects a new wave of Asian capital favoring infrastructure tokens that power transaction flow over store-of-value assets.

CoinDesk logoCoinDesk
1 min
Canaan Stock Swells on Canadian Gas-to-Compute Pilot Plans

Canaan Stock Swells on Canadian Gas-to-Compute Pilot Plans

Shares in Canaan jumped more than 40% after unveiling a pilot project in Alberta that converts stranded natural gas into power....

Decrypt logoDecrypt
1 min
WLFI Team Allegedly Behind $1.1B Hyperliquid Short Position: Eye

WLFI Team Allegedly Behind $1.1B Hyperliquid Short Position: Eye

Key Highlights An independent investigator allegedly pointed a finger towards members of World Liberty Financial, including Donald Trump…...

CryptoNewsZ logoCryptoNewsZ
1 min