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September 4, 2025Bitcoin World logoBitcoin World

Bitcoin Cycle: Analyst Reveals Stunning Reason Why Bull Run Isn’t Over Yet

BitcoinWorld Bitcoin Cycle: Analyst Reveals Stunning Reason Why Bull Run Isn’t Over Yet The cryptocurrency market often feels like a rollercoaster, with sharp corrections leading many to wonder if the good times are truly ￰0￱ dips in Bitcoin’s price have fueled this uncertainty, causing some investors to question the longevity of the current bullish trend. However, a prominent analyst offers a compelling counter-narrative, suggesting that the current Bitcoin cycle is far from ￰1￱ insight could be crucial for anyone navigating the volatile world of digital ￰2￱ the Current Bitcoin Cycle Truly Unbroken? Despite the recent volatility that has gripped the market, the prevailing sentiment that the Bitcoin cycle has concluded might be ￰3￱ to Axel Adler Jr., a respected contributor at CryptoQuant, the underlying data points to a different ￰4￱ analysis indicates that Bitcoin’s current market behavior aligns with a structural uptrend, rather than a cycle top.

Adler’s perspective offers a glimmer of hope and a logical framework for understanding Bitcoin’s ￰5￱ emphasizes the importance of key support levels, which often act as critical junctures for price ￰6￱ these levels is fundamental to predicting future movements and making informed investment ￰7￱ investors closely monitor such analyses to gauge market health and potential future ￰8￱ is vital to look beyond daily fluctuations and consider broader, long-term indicators that reveal the true state of the ￰9￱ approach helps to avoid panic selling and to capitalize on sustained ￰10￱ Key Support: Why $107K Matters for the Bitcoin Cycle A significant part of Adler’s argument hinges on Bitcoin’s performance on the monthly ￰11￱ notes that BTC is currently trading around $110,700, which is comfortably above a crucial support level: the short-term holder realized price at $107,600.

This metric is a powerful indicator, representing the average price at which short-term investors acquired their ￰12￱ does this mean for the Bitcoin cycle? Short-term holder realized price: This metric helps to identify the cost basis for investors who have held Bitcoin for less than 155 ￰13￱ the price stays above this level, it suggests that these newer market participants are generally in profit, reducing the likelihood of widespread selling ￰14￱ to other holder groups: Adler highlights that the current price is significantly higher than the realized price for all holders ($52,800) and long-term holders ($35,600). This wide margin indicates robust profitability across different investor cohorts, strongly supporting the notion of a structural uptrend in the ongoing Bitcoin ￰15￱ fact that Bitcoin maintains its position above these critical realized price levels provides a strong foundation for continued ￰16￱ suggests that the market has absorbed recent selling and is ready to push higher, rather than entering a prolonged bearish ￰17￱ resilience is a hallmark of a healthy and maturing asset ￰18￱ Market Sentiment: What NUPL Tells Us About This Bitcoin Cycle Another powerful tool in Adler’s analysis is the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL) ￰19￱ metric helps assess the overall profitability of the Bitcoin market by comparing the unrealized profit of all coins to their unrealized loss.

A higher NUPL value indicates greater market-wide profit. Currently, the NUPL indicator stands at 0.53, placing it firmly in the profit ￰20￱ this is a positive sign, Adler points out that it is at a lower level compared to previous market ￰21￱ observation is particularly insightful: Profit zone, but not overheated: Being in the profit zone means that, on average, Bitcoin holders are sitting on gains. However, the relatively lower NUPL value compared to past peaks suggests that the market is not yet experiencing the extreme euphoria or speculative frenzy often seen at cycle ￰22￱ for growth: This ‘cooler’ profit zone implies that there is still significant room for the market to expand before reaching potential exhaustion ￰23￱ suggests that the current Bitcoin cycle has more fuel to burn, offering further upside potential for ￰24￱ balanced view from the NUPL indicator provides a nuanced understanding of market ￰25￱ counters the narrative of an imminent crash by showing that while profitable, the market isn’t excessively overbought, leaving room for continued price ￰26￱ the Future: What’s Next for the Bitcoin Cycle?

Axel Adler Jr.’s conclusion is clear and provides actionable insight for investors: if Bitcoin’s price can successfully be maintained above the key support level of $107,000, the bullish trend is highly likely to ￰27￱ threshold acts as a crucial barometer for the market’s immediate future, signaling whether the upward momentum will ￰28￱ investors, monitoring this specific price point becomes paramount. A sustained break below $107,000 could signal a shift in market dynamics, while holding firm above it reinforces the analyst’s optimistic outlook for the ongoing Bitcoin ￰29￱ provides a tangible metric to watch amidst the often-confusing daily price ￰30￱ confluence of strong realized price support and a healthy, yet not overheated, NUPL indicator paints a compelling ￰31￱ suggests that while corrections are a natural part of any market, the foundational elements for a continued uptrend in the Bitcoin cycle remain firmly in ￰32￱ perspective encourages a long-term view, rather than reacting to short-term fear.

Conclusion: A Resilient Bitcoin Cycle The latest analysis from CryptoQuant’s Axel Adler ￰33￱ a powerful counter-argument to the idea that Bitcoin’s current bull run is ￰34￱ focusing on critical on-chain metrics like the short-term holder realized price and the NUPL indicator, he demonstrates that Bitcoin’s foundational support remains ￰35￱ key takeaway is clear: as long as the $107,000 support level holds, the prevailing bullish trend of the Bitcoin cycle is poised to ￰36￱ provides a robust framework for investors to confidently navigate the market, understanding that significant upside potential still ￰37￱ Asked Questions (FAQs) ￰38￱ is the “short-term holder realized price”?

The short-term holder realized price is an on-chain metric that calculates the average price at which Bitcoin was acquired by investors who have held their coins for less than 155 ￰39￱ helps identify the cost basis for newer market ￰40￱ does the NUPL indicator tell us about the market? NUPL stands for Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. It assesses the overall profitability of the Bitcoin market by comparing the total unrealized profit to the total unrealized loss across all coins. A positive NUPL indicates that the market is, on average, in ￰41￱ is the $107,000 level so important for Bitcoin?

According to the analysis, $107,000 represents the short-term holder realized price, acting as a crucial support ￰42￱ Bitcoin’s price remains above this point, it signals that newer investors are profitable, reducing selling pressure and supporting a continued bullish ￰43￱ this Bitcoin cycle different from previous ones? While the current NUPL is in the profit zone, it’s at a lower level compared to previous cycle ￰44￱ suggests the market might not be as overheated or euphoric as in past cycles, potentially indicating more room for sustained ￰45￱ should investors watch for next in the Bitcoin cycle? Investors should closely monitor Bitcoin’s price action relative to the $107,000 support level.

A sustained hold above this level would reinforce the bullish outlook, while a decisive break below it could signal a shift in market ￰46￱ you found this analysis insightful, consider sharing it with your network! Your support helps us continue providing valuable insights into the dynamic world of ￰47￱ the word and help others understand the fascinating intricacies of the market! To learn more about the latest Bitcoin cycle trends, explore our article on key developments shaping Bitcoin price ￰48￱ post Bitcoin Cycle: Analyst Reveals Stunning Reason Why Bull Run Isn’t Over Yet first appeared on BitcoinWorld and is written by Editorial Team

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