Asia Morning Briefing: Fragility or Back on Track? BTC Holds the Line at $115K

Good Morning, Asia. Here's what's making news in the markets: Welcome to Asia Morning Briefing, a daily summary of top stories during ￰0￱ and an overview of market moves and ￰1￱ a detailed overview of U. S. markets, see CoinDesk's Crypto Daybook ￰2￱ (BTC) traded just above $115k in Asia Tuesday morning, slipping slightly after a strong start to the ￰3￱ modest pullback followed a run of inflows into ￰4￱ ETFs and lingering optimism that the Federal Reserve will cut rates next ￰5￱ moves left traders divided: is this recovery built on fragile foundations, or is crypto firmly back on track after last week’s CPI-driven jitters?

That debate is playing out across research desks. Glassnode’s weekly pulse emphasizes ￰6￱ ETF inflows surged nearly 200% last week and futures open interest jumped, the underlying spot market looks ￰7￱ conviction remains shallow, Glassnode writes, funding rates have softened, and profit-taking is on the rise with more than 92% of supply in ￰8￱ traders have also scaled back downside hedges, pushing volatility spreads lower, which Glassnode warns leaves the market exposed if risk ￰9￱ core message: ETFs and futures are supporting the rally, but without stronger spot flows, BTC remains ￰10￱ takes the other ￰11￱ Singapore-based desk says crypto is “back on track” after CPI confirmed tariff-led inflation without major ￰12￱ highlight five consecutive days of sizeable BTC ETF inflows, ETH’s biggest inflow in two weeks, and strength in XRP and SOL even after ETF delays.

Traders, they argue, are interpreting regulatory postponements as inevitability rather than ￰13￱ the Altcoin Season Index at a 90-day high, QCP sees BTC consolidation above $115k as the launchpad for rotation into higher-beta ￰14￱ divide underscores how Bitcoin’s current range near $115k–$116k is a ￰15￱ calls it fragile optimism; QCP calls it ￰16￱ side is right may depend on whether ETF inflows keep offsetting profit-taking in the weeks ￰17￱ Movement BTC: Bitcoin is consolidating near the $115,000 level as traders square positions ahead of expected ￰18￱ policy moves; institutional demand via spot Bitcoin ETFs is supporting upside ETH: ETH is trading near $4500 in a key resistance band; gains are being helped by renewed institutional demand, tightening supply (exchange outflows), and positive technical setups.

Gold: Gold continues to hold near record highs, underpinned by expectations of Fed interest rate cuts, inflation risk, and investor demand for safe havens; gains tempered somewhat by profit‑taking and a firmer ￰19￱ Nikkei 225: Japan’s Nikkei 225 topped 45,000 for the first time Monday, leading Asia-Pacific gains as upbeat U. S.-China trade talks and a TikTok divestment framework lifted sentiment. S&P 500: The S&P 500 rose 0.5% to close above 6,600 for the first time on Monday as upbeat U. S.-China trade talks and anticipation of a Fed meeting lifted ￰20￱ in Crypto Coinbase App Store ranking suggests retail still on sidelines despite crypto rally ( The Block ) Robinhood Expands Private Equity Token Push With New Venture Capital Fund ( CoinDesk ) Strategy Adds $60 Million to Bitcoin Treasury in Smallest Buy in a Month ( Decrypt )