According to CME's FedWatch Tool data, the probability of the Fed cutting interest rates in September has reached 86.4%. In contrast, the probability of interest rates remaining at current levels was calculated as 13.6%. The federal funds rate target range currently stands at 4.25% to 4.50%. Data suggests that a 25 basis point cut would likely bring the rate back to 4.00% to 4.25%.
A 50 basis point cut is not currently considered a 0 News: Former Governor of the People's Bank of China Publishes Article Concerning the Cryptocurrency Sector: Issues Warning Comparisons from previous periods also indicate a steadily increasing expectation of a rate cut. A week ago, the probability of a rate cut was 84.7%, while a month ago, it was 46.7%. Conversely, the probability of a rate cut remaining at the current level was 52.4%, but today it has fallen to 13.6%. The next Fed meeting is approximately 17 days away, and markets have largely priced in a rate 1 President Donald Trump is putting significant pressure on Fed Chair Jerome Powell to cut interest 2 even considered Powell's dismissal.
However, Powell doesn't make interest rate cut decisions alone; they are made through a vote held within the Fed. Recently, Fed member Lisa Cook was dismissed by Trump over allegations of mortgage fraud, but Cook subsequently filed a lawsuit over the decision. *This is not investment 3 Reading: Will the Fed Cut Interest Rates in September? What Will the Cut Rate Be? Here Are the Latest Forecasts
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