Bitcoin Price Prediction: The Fed Just Cut Rates – Is a Surprise Effect About to Jolt BTC?

Bitcoin spent the early weekend bouncing around but kept its footing above $116,000, with an intraday low near $116,024. That resilience extends a three-week recovery as risk appetite improves after the Federal Reserve’s 25 bps rate cut, which lowered the target range to 4.00%–4.25%. Just as important, the Fed’s outlook softened : the median path points to 3.6% for 2025, easing further to 3.4% in 2026 and 3.1% in ￰0￱ those estimates hold, the market could still see two more 25-bp moves (or one 50-bp step) this ￰1￱ ANNOUNCED: The Federal Reserve has just CUT RATES by 0.25%. Thanks, President Trump! #BullMarket Fed Chair Jerome Powell: "Today, the Federal Open Market Committee decided to lower our policy interest rate by 1/4 percentage point." THE GOLDEN AGE OF AMERICA BEGINS RIGHT… ￰2￱ — AJ Huber (@Huberton) September 17, 2025 Lower expected policy rates tend to loosen financial conditions, and crypto—being the furthest out on the risk curve—often feels the upside ￰3￱ in steady institutional interest and corporate treasury attention, and you’ve got a constructive backdrop for ￰4￱ (BTC/USD) Technical Outlook On the 4-hour chart, Bitcoin price prediction seems bearish as BTC continues to track a rising ￰5￱ completing an ABCD advance, price faded from the wedge top near $118k–$119k and is now grappling with a supply band at $116.2k–$116.8k.

The 50-SMA ($116,050) is capping rebounds intraday, while the 200-SMA (~$113,350) and a prior shelf at $114,400 define ￰6￱ Price Chart –), and RSI ~47 confirms cooling momentum, not ￰7￱ structure of higher lows remains intact unless $113,300 breaks—only then does the risk skew toward a deeper ￰8￱ levels Support: $114,400–$114,600; $113,350–$113,300 Resistance: $116,200–$116,800; $117,980; $119,150 Bitcoin (BTC/USD) Trade plan and risks For beginners, patience near support beats chasing into ￰9￱ a buy-the-dip only if price revisits $114,400–$114,600 and prints a bullish hammer or engulfing on the 4H close—evidence that buyers absorbed ￰10￱ a stop below $113,200 (under the 200-SMA and last swing low) to keep risk ￰11￱ take-profit sits at $116,600 (mid-supply/50-SMA), with a second target at $117,980; if momentum flips decisively—think three white soldiers or a strong break-and-hold above the blue zone—leave a runner toward $119,150.

If instead you see three black crows driving a close below $113,300, step ￰12￱ would signal the channel has failed and opens room toward $112,100. Big picture, the Fed’s gentler path and growing institutional demand keep the upside case alive, but the chart still demands confirmation above $116.8k for the next leg higher. A genuine “surprise effect” could arrive if incoming data nudges the Fed even faster—fuel for a momentum pop—yet disciplined entries and exits remain your best ￰13￱ Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) Combines BTC Security With Solana Speed Bitcoin Hyper ($HYPER) is positioning itself as the first Bitcoin-native Layer 2 powered by the Solana Virtual Machine (SVM).

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