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October 2, 2025Seeking Alpha logoSeeking Alpha

XRP Surges As Derivatives Demand Builds And Spot Inflows Return

Summary XRP traded at $2.96 after rebounding from the $2.84 to $2.85 support cluster near the 100-day ￰0￱ activity rose, with futures volume up 35% to $6.7 billion and open interest at $7.87 ￰1￱ inflows of $10.38 million on Oct. 2 signaled fresh spot demand as funding stayed modestly ￰2￱ Jainam Mehta XRP ( XRP-USD ) traded near $2.96 on Thursday as the market tried to reclaim momentum following weeks of compression inside a descending ￰3￱ again defended the $2.84 to $2.85 area, where horizontal demand aligns with the 100-day exponential moving ￰4￱ price dynamics () That zone has absorbed multiple selloffs since mid-August and remains a primary line of ￰5￱ has begun to ￰6￱ Relative Strength Index rose to 53 and crossed above its signal, pointing to improving short-term strength without overbought ￰7￱ 20-day EMA at $2.91 flipped back into play as intraday support, and price is now testing the upper boundary of the pattern.

A daily close above $3.00 to $3.05 would be the first constructive step toward reversing the broader downtrend and would shift focus to higher resistance ￰8￱ the topside, successive ceilings sit at $3.05 to $3.10, followed by $3.25 and $3.45. A stronger run could put $3.60 on the radar if momentum ￰9￱ the downside, a return to $2.84 to $2.85 would test the durability of the base. A decisive failure there would expose $2.62 at the 200-day ￰10￱ and options show renewed appetite Derivatives positioning strengthened alongside ￰11￱ futures trading volume jumped 35 percent to $6.7 ￰12￱ interest increased nearly 6 percent to $7.87 billion, a sign that fresh capital is entering the market rather than only rotating within existing ￰13￱ activity surged as ￰14￱ options volume rose 52 percent, while options open interest fell 36 ￰15￱ combination implies that traders added near-term exposure but trimmed hedges, a setup that can magnify follow-through if price clears nearby ￰16￱ and short ratios on major venues tilted ￰17￱ accounts showed a 3.28 ratio in favor of longs, while top trader positioning skewed above ￰18￱ data pointed to heavier losses for shorts, suggesting pressure could intensify if price pushes through the $3 ￰19￱ rates stayed slightly positive across major futures ￰20￱ absence of extreme funding reduces the risk of a sudden squeeze in either direction and supports a more orderly advance if spot demand ￰21￱ flows turn positive as accumulation resurfaces On-chain and exchange flows added to the constructive ￰22￱ Oct. 2, XRP recorded net inflows of $10.38 million, coinciding with the push toward $2.97.

The figure contrasts with the outflow pattern that dominated prior weeks and implies that some traders are shifting from defense to accumulation near the established ￰23￱ session does not set a lasting trend, but the turn in flows is consistent with improving technical conditions above the 20-day ￰24￱ structure remains sensitive to headlines and broad risk ￰25￱ so, the alignment of rising futures interest, firmer spot flows, and a defended 100-day EMA gives bulls a clearer path, provided price can establish acceptance above $3.00. XRP short-term outlook XRP’s near-term path hinges on the $3.00 to $3.05 zone. A close above that band would confirm a break of descending supply and open room toward $3.25, then $3.45.

If momentum extends, $3.60 becomes a stretch ￰26￱ to clear $3.05 risks a return to $2.84 to $2.85, with a deeper test toward $2.62 if the base gives way. Previously, we noted that XRP’s triangle compression and persistent exchange outflows kept rallies capped near $3.00. The recent combination of net inflows, stronger futures participation, and a rebound off the 100-day EMA suggests that dynamic is beginning to ￰27￱ still need confirmation through a clean break of resistance, but the balance of forces is more supportive than it was in ￰28￱ material may contain third-party opinions; none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our ￰29￱ we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity , this post may contain references to products from our ￰30￱ Post

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