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October 9, 2025CoinOtag logoCoinOtag

Ethereum Could Face Supply Squeeze as 30-Day Netflows Remain Below Zero and $4.95K Resistance Looms

COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup Trade with pro tools Fast execution, robust charts, clean risk ￰2￱ account → COINOTAG recommends • Exchange signup Smarter ￰3￱ ￰4￱ analytics and risk features in one ￰5￱ up → If the link is missing: ￰0￱ If the button is not clickable: ￰1￱ price outlook: shrinking spot supply and slowed outflows point to a potential ETH supply squeeze over coming months; if demand from staking, DeFi or ETF flows rises, a decisive break above $4.95K could propel ETH toward $6K–$8K. 30-day SMA shows netflows below zero, signaling medium-term supply contraction. Short-term exchange outflows have eased, reducing near-term selling ￰6￱ and staking demand mean fewer tokens on-spot; key level to watch: $4,950 ￰7￱ price outlook: ETH supply squeeze risk rises as spot supply tightens—track $4.95K resistance for breakout ￰8￱ analysis and next ￰9￱ is the current Ethereum price outlook?

Ethereum price outlook shows medium-term supply contraction as the 30-day SMA of netflows remains below zero, while short-term outflows have ￰10￱ combination reduces spot selling pressure and increases the probability of a supply-driven rally if demand keeps ￰11￱ are netflows and supply impacting ETH price momentum? The 30-day simple moving average (SMA) of netflows staying below zero confirms a sustained withdrawal of ETH from exchanges, suggesting fewer tokens are available for immediate spot selling. Short-term outflows slowing indicates sellers are pausing, which supports price consolidation near resistance ￰12￱ fewer tokens available on exchanges, Ethereum could face a supply squeeze if staking, DeFi demand, or institutional ETF flows increase.

On-chain indicators from leading analytics providers and exchange flow monitoring show an ongoing decline in exchange balances (reported by Glassnode-style on-chain metrics and exchange flow data), reinforcing the supply-side ￰13￱ is $4.95K the line to watch? A clean daily close above $4,950 would confirm a breakout beyond the current resistance band and open technical targets toward $6,000 and $8,000. Until then, support near $4,400 remains critical for the bullish technical bias to ￰14￱ market attempted a breakout two months ago but failed to sustain momentum, indicating buyers must show conviction on a renewed ￰15￱ should watch volume expansion on any break: a breakout with rising volume signals institutional participation and ETF-driven ￰16￱ could supply dynamics trigger a squeeze?

If staking inflows increase and exchange withdrawals continue at current rates, the effective liquid supply could tighten within ￰17￱ weekly exchange balance trends and staking deposit rates to judge whether the supply squeeze is ￰18￱ 30-day SMA of netflows remains below zero, confirming a medium-term supply contraction, and short-term outflows have slightly slowed ￰19￱ fewer tokens available for spot selling, ETH could be headed for a supply squeeze if demand from staking, DeFi, or ETF inflows continues to ￰20￱ real test lies ahead While steady outflows have supported Ethereum’s climb, the real challenge is ￰21￱ has yet to break its ATH with conviction; the brief move above it two months ago showed strength but didn’t confirm a full ￰22￱ now, the price is consolidating just below resistance.

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