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October 3, 2025Seeking Alpha logoSeeking Alpha

Dogecoin Price Holds Rising Channel But Faces Pressure From Persistent Outflows

Summary Dogecoin trades at $0.255, consolidating inside a rising channel since ￰0￱ outflows of $38.6 million signal fragile demand despite technical ￰1￱ at $0.30–$0.32 remains the critical breakout zone for a sustained ￰2￱ Parshwa Turakhiya Dogecoin (DOGE-USD) is trading near $0.255 on Friday, consolidating within an ascending channel that has guided its price since ￰3￱ token’s broader structure remains constructive, but persistent outflows from exchanges highlight a fragile demand backdrop that has capped momentum in recent ￰4￱ price dynamics () On the daily chart, Dogecoin continues to respect higher lows within the rising channel, with the lower boundary near $0.24 providing immediate ￰5￱ cluster of exponential moving averages (20, 50, 100, and 200-day) between $0.22 and $0.25 reinforces this base, with the 200-day EMA at $0.221 acting as a structural safety ￰6￱ remains concentrated between $0.30 and $0.32, the zone that has repeatedly rejected rallies since August.

A decisive breakout above this ceiling would confirm renewed bullish strength and potentially open the door toward $0.35 and $0.38, aligned with the upper boundary of the ￰7￱ indicators are balanced, with the Relative Strength Index hovering at 54, leaving room for directional extension in either ￰8￱ risk for bulls lies in a failure to hold above $0.24, which would invalidate the channel and expose deeper pullbacks toward $0.22 and $0.20. Spot flows highlight fragile sentiment Exchange flows have underscored the caution among ￰9￱ October 3, Dogecoin recorded $38.6 million in net outflows, reflecting reduced exchange supply but also signaling that participants continue to move coins off trading ￰10￱ outflows can be interpreted as accumulation, the consistency of red prints through September reveals hesitation, with larger investors cutting exposure during ￰11￱ persistent pattern helps explain why Dogecoin has struggled to sustain momentum beyond $0.30.

Without strong inflows to balance out profit-taking, upside extensions have been repeatedly capped, keeping the asset locked within its channel ￰12￱ and positioning In derivatives markets, open interest has remained steady, suggesting active positioning, but leverage levels appear ￰13￱ volume shows participation, but not yet the conviction needed to trigger an aggressive ￰14￱ activity has been muted, further reflecting that traders are cautious in pressing directional bets until Dogecoin clears key resistance ￰15￱ Dogecoin’s near-term fate rests on its ability to hold the $0.24–$0.25 ￰16￱ this base keeps the door open for another attempt to challenge $0.30–$0.32, while a breakdown would put pressure on the $0.22 and $0.20 accumulation ￰17￱ bulls, confirmation of a sustained rally requires improving spot inflows and stronger derivatives participation, without which upside momentum is likely to remain ￰18￱ earlier analysis, we highlighted Dogecoin’s structural resilience within its rising channel but noted the recurring struggle to build momentum above $0.30.

That dynamic remains central, as improving technicals have not yet been matched by sufficient exchange flows or derivatives demand to break the ￰19￱ material may contain third-party opinions, none of the data and information on this webpage constitutes investment advice according to our ￰20￱ we adhere to strict Editorial Integrity , this post may contain references to products from our ￰21￱ Post

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