Skip to content
October 10, 2025NewsBTC logoNewsBTC

Bitcoin Decouples From Miner Flows With -0.15 Correlation – What It Means For Price?

Following a slight slump yesterday from its recent highs, Bitcoin (BTC) is now trading in the low $120,000 range. Meanwhile, BTC’s miner correlation has undergone a significant shift over the past few months, indicating a clear change in market dynamics between miner behavior and price ￰0￱ Miner Correlation Turns Negative According to a CryptoQuant Quicktake post by contributor Arab Chain, fresh data from Binance shows that Bitcoin price and miner flows to the crypto exchange have undergone a significant shift in recent ￰1￱ Reading: Bitcoin Whales Are Back: Three Indicators Suggest A Run Toward $130,000 Specifically, the 30-Day Rolling Correlation indicator has tumbled to its lowest level since March ￰2￱ October 3, this indicator fell to -0.157, its lowest reading in more than five ￰3￱ then, it has remained close to the -0.10 ￰4￱ the uninitiated, the 30-day rolling correlation indicator measures how closely two variables, such as Bitcoin’s price and miner flows, move together over the past 30 days.

A positive value means they typically rise or fall in tandem, while a negative value means they move in opposite ￰5￱ is worth noting that the indicator had previously been moving within a positive range of 0.1 to 0.5 during Q2 ￰6￱ shift from positive rage to negative suggests that the recent surge in BTC price has not been driven by miner flows to ￰7￱ is in stark contrast to previous cycles, where miner flows to exchanges played a key role in BTC’s price movement. However, the current cycle’s positive price action can be attributed to increased demand from investors and ￰8￱ Chain added: In past cycles, when the price rose, miners often transferred larger amounts of Bitcoin to exchanges to sell and take profits, creating a positive correlation between price and miner flows – meaning that as prices increased, flows also ￰9￱ Chain added that the decline in correlation indicates a phase of “price independence” where miners opt to hold their BTC rather than sell it during times of price appreciation.

A fall in miner signal is usually considered a bullish signal, as it reduces BTC’s circulating ￰10￱ said, if the correlation turns strongly positive again, it could signal the return of selling pressure and a medium-term price correction could be ￰11￱ present, the BTC market is showing a healthy balance between demand and ￰12￱ Needs To Defend This Level Following BTC’s fall to the low $120,000 range, some crypto analysts say that the top cryptocurrency must defend the $120,600 level to avoid further crash. However, not all analysts are bearish on BTC just ￰13￱ Reading: $140K Or Bust? Simulation Says Bitcoin’s Odds Are Now 50-50 For instance, crypto entrepreneur Arthur Hayes predicts that US President Donald Trump could send BTC to $250,000 by the end of ￰14￱ press time, BTC trades at $121,375, down 0.8% in the past 24 ￰15￱ image from Unsplash, charts from CryptoQuant and ￰16￱

NewsBTC logo
NewsBTC

Latest news and analysis from NewsBTC

Coinbase Poised for Long-Term Gains as Banks Leverage Its Crypto Infrastructure

Coinbase Poised for Long-Term Gains as Banks Leverage Its Crypto Infrastructure

Coinbase is positioning itself for substantial long-term growth by developing essential backend infrastructure that major banks rely on for crypto services. This strategic shift focuses on institution...

CoinOtag logoCoinOtag
1 min
Coinbase is gaining long‑term attention for its bank partnerships rather than short‑term trading revenue

Coinbase is gaining long‑term attention for its bank partnerships rather than short‑term trading revenue

Coinbase is being tipped for large long‑term gains as it continues building the backend infrastructure that banks are now using to offer crypto services, according to reporting from CNBC. Cryptopolita...

Cryptopolitan logoCryptopolitan
1 min
Analysts Debunk Viral Claim of CZ Selling $30 Million in $ASTER Tokens Amid Aster’s Tokenomics Update

Analysts Debunk Viral Claim of CZ Selling $30 Million in $ASTER Tokens Amid Aster’s Tokenomics Update

Crypto Twitter went wild earlier today after a viral “screenshot” by X user @FarzadXBT claimed that Binance founder CZ sold $30 million worth of $ASTER tokens. The image quickly made the rounds, until...

NullTx logoNullTx
1 min