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October 6, 2025CoinDesk logoCoinDesk

Polymarket Bettors Say U.S. Government Shutdown Will be Long But Won't Break Records

Polymarket bettors are putting their money on the ￰0￱ remaining shut until Oct. 15, but they are also saying it will be back in operation within a ￰1￱ are giving a 72% chance to the government being back in operation on Oct, 15 or later, with $1.4 million in volume in a $4 million contract on that date ￰2￱ contract which asks for the length of the shutdown gives a 67% chance that it goes on for 10-29 days, and only a 27% chance that its longer than a month putting it under the record for the longest government shutdown in history which occurred during the first Trump ￰3￱ market observers are pointing to the ￰4￱ shutdown as a reason why BTC recently rallied, hitting new highs above $125,000.

The Congress is reportedly in a stalemate with recent resolutions to fund and re-open government failing to hit the required threshold.

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