Polymarket bettors are putting their money on the 0 remaining shut until Oct. 15, but they are also saying it will be back in operation within a 1 are giving a 72% chance to the government being back in operation on Oct, 15 or later, with $1.4 million in volume in a $4 million contract on that date 2 contract which asks for the length of the shutdown gives a 67% chance that it goes on for 10-29 days, and only a 27% chance that its longer than a month putting it under the record for the longest government shutdown in history which occurred during the first Trump 3 market observers are pointing to the 4 shutdown as a reason why BTC recently rallied, hitting new highs above $125,000.
The Congress is reportedly in a stalemate with recent resolutions to fund and re-open government failing to hit the required threshold.
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