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October 4, 2025CoinOtag logoCoinOtag

Altcoin Dominance Nears Possible Breakout as Bitcoin Holds and Layer 1s Lead Capital Rotation

Altcoin dominance is nearing a potential breakout as capital rotates into Layer 1 networks; Ethereum and BNB led weekly gains while the Altcoin Season Index hit 65, signaling rising rotation pressure but not yet a full altcoin cycle ￰0￱ Season Index at 65 Bitcoin dominance holds at 58.21% while selective altcoins outperform, indicating measured ￰1￱ +12.46% and BNB +21.21% weekly gains; meme coins show high volatility (up to +136.81% and down -40.97%). Altcoin dominance nears breakout as Layer 1s lead rotation; track Altcoin Season Index and Bitcoin dominance for ￰2￱ is altcoin dominance and why does it matter now? Altcoin dominance measures the share of total crypto market cap held by altcoins versus ￰3￱ now trades near a long-term support channel (~0.13) and, combined with an Altcoin Season Index reading of 65, suggests growing rotation into altcoins while Bitcoin dominance remains elevated at 58.21%.

How is the current capital rotation into Layer 1 networks unfolding? Layer 1s are leading this rotation: Ethereum gained 12.46% and BNB 21.21% in seven ￰4￱ upgrades and integrations are cited as ￰5￱ flows into Bitcoin ETFs ($627 million in 24 hours reported) are supporting Bitcoin’s stability, so capital appears to favor structured ecosystems before moving into smaller caps. , "description": "Altcoin dominance nears a breakout as Layer 1 networks lead rotation and Altcoin Season Index hits 65; measured repositioning noted while Bitcoin dominance holds." , Altcoin dominance nears key breakout zone as Bitcoin strength persists and Layer 1s lead capital ￰6￱ Season Index hit 65, signaling rising rotation pressure despite Bitcoin’s 58.21% dominance ￰7￱ and BNB led gains with 12% and 21% weekly advances, driven by infrastructure ￰8￱ coins like FLOKI and JELLYJELLY surged, but Plasma’s 40% drop shows ongoing liquidity ￰9￱ dominance is approaching a possible inflection zone as market structure data and sentiment indicators align for what analyst Merlijn The Trader describes as “Strike 3.” His observation points to an emerging shift in capital rotation, with altcoins slowly reclaiming ground against ￰10￱ trendlines support that ￰11￱ dominance peaks in 2018 and 2021 both coincided with sharp altcoin rallies before deep ￰12￱ current ratio trades near 0.13 , sitting on long-term channel support that has defined every recovery phase across the past two ￰13￱ do long-term structure signals indicate about rebound potential?

According to Merlijn The Trader, the dominance chart shows three projected cycle tops: 2018, 2021, and a projected top in ￰14￱ touched an upper resistance ￰15￱ action continues to respect that formation, suggesting upside room remains while the lower boundary holds.) Near-term positioning shows ￰16￱ dominance increased to 58.21% , gaining 0.25 points in 24 ￰17￱ Altcoin Season Index climbed to 65 out of 100, nearing the commonly referenced 66 threshold used to denote official ￰18￱ divergence points to selective repositioning rather than indiscriminate ￰19￱ are Layer 1 networks shaping the current rotation? Ethereum gained 12.46% in seven days, with BNB advancing 21.21% over the same ￰20￱ and integrations on these networks have driven institutional and retail interest, while broader market indices show flows into regulated products that support Bitcoin’s case as a core ￰21￱ Binance market index rose 11.09% across the ￰22￱ tracked an 8.53% rise amid compliance ￰23￱ moves suggest capital preferentially rotates into robust, liquid ecosystems before pursuing high-risk micro-cap ￰24￱ are meme coins and micro-caps still risky?

Speculative appetite is evident: FLOKI rallied 36.83% after a European ETP listing (reported in market notices). Micro-cap JELLYJELLY surged 136.81% on listing momentum. Conversely, Plasma (XPL) plunged 40.97% , highlighting thin liquidity and rapid drawdowns in smaller ￰25￱ contrast underscores a layered advance: stable gains in Layer 1s, selective retail speculation in meme assets, and heightened liquidity risk for ￰26￱ confirmation of broad altcoin expansion would likely arrive if Bitcoin dominance breaks below 57% . Comparison table: key metrics this week Metric Value Implication Bitcoin dominance 58.21% Maintains BTC stability; limits immediate altcoin breadth Altcoin Season Index 65/100 Rising rotation pressure; just below official threshold Ethereum (7d) +12.46% Layer 1 strength BNB (7d) +21.21% Strong exchange-led ecosystem gains Frequently Asked Questions What BTC dominance level historically triggers altcoin season?

Historically, a sustained Bitcoin dominance drop below ~57% has often signaled that capital is rotating into altcoins more broadly, enabling wider altcoin ￰27￱ should traders manage risk during early rotation? Prioritize liquid Layer 1 tokens, use position sizing, set stop-losses, and monitor institutional flows and the Altcoin Season Index for confirmation before increasing exposure to high-volatility ￰28￱ Takeaways Measured rotation: Altcoin dominance nears a key zone but Bitcoin dominance remains a constraining ￰29￱ 1 leadership: Ethereum and BNB gains indicate infrastructure-driven capital flows. High-risk micro-caps: Meme token rallies coexist with sharp liquidity-driven drawdowns; manage risk ￰30￱ Altcoin dominance is approaching a pivotal area as Layer 1 networks lead capital rotation while Bitcoin retains significant market share.

Short-term gains in Ethereum and BNB point to structured strength, but liquidity risks in smaller tokens ￰31￱ Bitcoin dominance and the Altcoin Season Index to time entries and manage exposure.

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