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October 10, 2025Cryptopolitan logoCryptopolitan

Insider knowledge speculations follow Polymarket whale's bet on Nobel Peace Prize

A Polymarket whale started trading with confidence on the winner of this year’s Nobel Peace ￰0￱ position increased hours before Maria Corina Machado was officially announced as the ￰1￱ once again seemed to front-run official news, as one trader made a confident bet on the winner of this year’s Nobel Peace ￰2￱ trader opened a position just hours before Maria Corina Machado was announced as the ￰3￱ Polymarket trader, known as @dirtycup made their first and only bet on Machado emerging as the ￰4￱ whale placed $68,117 on the position, while the market was quite far from resolving, as ‘Yes’ votes gradually grew their price. A Polymarket trader @​dirtycup just parked $68,117 in a single YES bet on María Corina Machado for the 2025 Nobel Peace ￰5￱ other markets, no hedging—just laser focus on one ￰6￱ @​dirtycup knows something from Oslo, or that's the wildest fan club ￰7￱ — Polymarket Whales (@PolyWhaleWatch) October 10, 2025 The whale started accruing ‘Yes’ tokens as low as $0.05, averaging upward for hours before the actual ￰8￱ approach suggested the trader may have bought the shares on insider information, aiming to average slowly and avoid pushing the price ￰9￱ whale held until the market was ￰10￱ active betting started a day before the market was resolved, with an early uptick in the price of the ‘Yes’ ￰11￱ that, few whales made strong bets on any of the potential ￰12￱ whales boosted the Nobel Peace Prize pairs In total, the prediction market on the winner had a volume of over $21M , boosted by the presence of a Donald Trump ￰13￱ viral nature of the Peace Prize meant the whale had access to higher ￰14￱ was one more user to accumulate ‘Yes’ shares – @betmoar.

The account trolled other prediction markets, while also betting on Machado’s selection earlier, locking in $80,439.70 in total gains from the prediction ￰15￱ ‘Yes’ tokens for the Peace Prize going to Machado started expanding a day ago, as speculative whales started buying the position. |

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