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October 2, 2025Crypto Daily logoCrypto Daily

Bitcoin & Major Cryptos Rally Amid US Government Shutdown Concerns

Bitcoin and other major cryptocurrencies gained ground this week as mounting concerns over a ￰3￱ shutdown injected volatility into traditional markets, underscoring crypto’s evolving role as both a risk asset and, at times, a hedge against policy ￰4￱ Breeds Divergence Historically, crypto’s reaction to fiscal standoffs has been ￰5￱ the 2018–2019 shutdown, Bitcoin fell roughly 9%, while in earlier episodes it showed ￰6￱ time, some market participants are treating digital assets as an alternative refuge, particularly as questions mount over the U. S. dollar’s near-term ￰7￱ & Regulatory Implications The shutdown also carries direct implications for crypto ￰8￱ such as the Securities and Exchange Commission and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission are operating with reduced staff, delaying decisions on pending exchange-traded fund applications and enforcement ￰9￱ prolonged disruption could push back timelines for crypto-related approvals, even as market demand for regulated products ￰10￱ concerns add another ￰11￱ Ratings warned the shutdown could weigh on the ￰12￱ rating, echoing past episodes when political brinkmanship eroded confidence in America’s fiscal ￰13￱ warnings often ripple across global markets, with unpredictable effects on digital assets.

Short-Term vs Long-Term Scenarios Analysts caution that the latest rally may not be durable if the shutdown drags ￰14￱ the short term, uncertainty tends to drive correlations higher, meaning crypto could sell off alongside equities in a broader risk-off ￰15￱ in longer scenarios where faith in ￰16￱ is dented, some investors see potential for Bitcoin to benefit as a hedge against systemic ￰17￱ (BTC) Eyes Fresh Highs After Steady Climb) gears up for sharding while price tests fresh highs), resolved politically Moderate to high Mild volatility, perhaps a relief rally once markets gain clarity, crypto relatively insulated Quick deal restores government operations, macro data resumes, Fed signals direction Moderate shutdown (2–4 weeks) with continued policy ambiguity Moderate Increased volatility, possible drawdowns in risk assets, mixed within crypto (large-cap may hold better) Delays in data, nervousness on credit, increased risk premium in markets Extended shutdown (4+ weeks), escalates fiscal/credit concerns Lower probability but plausible in gridlock scenarios More negative outcomes: capital flight, reassessment of risk assets including crypto; crypto might suffer in correlation with risk assets Credit rating downgrades, debt ceiling fights, severe liquidity stress Shutdown triggers dovish tilt from Fed / loosening monetary policy Dependent Could be a tailwind for crypto, especially if real rates fall If central bank reacts with accommodation, pushing yield curve down, risk assets including crypto gain Conclusion BTC rose again as lawmakers struggled to agree on a budget, and ETH kept ￰18￱ desks noted a jump in volume while range signals stayed tight, hinting at steady confidence despite the policy ￰19￱ demand for the two leaders looks positive, yet Zexpire offers a fresh ￰20￱ new platform turns price swings into a simple prediction game with capped loss and no margin ￰21￱ bet runs on $ZX, a token set for fee cuts, buybacks, and growing use, giving early buyers a chance at outsized ￰22￱ represents a promising opportunity ￰23￱ more information about Zexpire ($ZX) here: Site: ￰0￱ ￰1￱ X: ￰2￱ Disclaimer: This article is provided for informational purposes ￰24￱ is not offered or intended to be used as legal, tax, investment, financial, or other advice.

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