Bitcoin Futures Cool as Whale Activity Drops Ahead of Key Inflation Data – $105K Retest Next?

The Bitcoin futures market is cooling, with reduced whale activity and stronger retail influence painting bearish sentiment ahead of key inflation ￰1￱ and PPI reports are expected on Wednesday and Thursday, with market analysts now eyeing a $105K BTC price ￰2￱ WEEK INCOMING • Tuesday (Sept 9): U. S. Non-Farm Payrolls Annual Revisions • Wednesday (Sept 10): ￰3￱ (Producer Price Index) • Thursday (Sept 11): ￰4￱ (Consumer Price Index) & ECB Rate Decision EXPECT VOLATILITY! ￰5￱ — Crypto Rover (@rovercrc) September 7, 2025 PPI (Producer Price Index) shows producer-level inflation trends, while CPI (Consumer Price Index) shows consumer-level inflation trends.

Together, they shape Fed policy ￰6￱ Panic: Can Bitcoin Survive Another “Hotter Than Expected” CPI Print? In the last inflation data released in August, PPI rose YoY by 3.7% vs the expected 3.0%, while CPI rose YoY by 3.3% vs 2.5% ￰7￱ hotter-than-expected inflation reports initially pressured risk assets , including Bitcoin, as markets fell 2% and scaled back expectations of aggressive Fed rate ￰8￱ CPI data is coming on September ￰9￱ last 3 CPI data resulted in a 9%-11% drop in $BTC. With inflation running hot lately, will Bitcoin drop again? ￰10￱ — Ted (@TedPillows) September 9, 2025 However, analysts expect the upcoming CPI to cool slightly due to easing shelter and energy prices, possibly coming in closer to 3.0% ￰11￱ is also expected to moderate as supply chain pressures ease, though energy volatility remains a ￰12￱ Bitcoin, a cooler-than-expected inflation print could be bullish, indicating the Fed may move toward a rate cut later in September or in Q4 2025.18% for 50bps cut, that's so far 6x since I've called it at 3c few weeks ago Now we have ahead of us: – Potential downward revision of NFP (today) – PPI and CPI (Wednesday and Thursday) If we get good numbers on 2/3 of those odds for 50bps should double @Polymarket ￰0￱ ￰13￱ — CorgiI (@Corgil_) September 9, 2025 A hot inflation reading, however, could trigger another risk-off move, with Bitcoin facing short-term selling ￰14￱ at CryptoQuant reveal that Bitcoin’s price has remained confined within a narrow range ($108K – $113K) over recent months, despite notable accumulation by institutional investors .

A closer examination of market dynamics shows that the futures market, which is a primary driver of Bitcoin’s price, has shown signs of weakness during this ￰15￱ Futures Market Shows Signs of Weakness Data reveals a decline in participation from futures market ￰16￱ is reflected in the Average Order Size, calculated as total trading volume divided by the number of trades, which suggests greater influence from smaller, retail-driven transactions rather than large whale orders.) highlights that sellers (Taker Sell) have been exerting greater pressure on the market.) September 6, 2025 This scenario is expected to be the most bullish scenario for a longer 1-2 month rally into October/November, where a new ATH above $130K could be ￰17￱ the technical front, the Bitcoin 4-hour chart shows repeated rejections from the VWAP line, which has acted as strong dynamic ￰18￱ most recent attempt to reclaim VWAP at around $113,000 failed, pushing the price back into ￰19￱ occasional volume spikes, buyers have not managed to sustain momentum above this resistance zone, signaling that sellers are still in control around current ￰20￱ Bitcoin can break and hold above VWAP with strong volume, the price risks drifting lower toward the next support around $104,600.

For now, the structure leans bearish-to-neutral, with any upside potential heavily dependent on a decisive reclaim of VWAP.