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August 28, 2025CoinDesk logoCoinDesk

Bitcoin, Ether ETF Flows Hint at Incoming Altcoin Bull Run: Crypto Daybook Americas

By Omkar Godbole (All times ET unless indicated otherwise) As August draws to a close, two observations stand out. First, the month's typical surge in volatility in both traditional and cryptocurrency markets has not materialized. That's probably driven by market expectations of forthcoming Fed interest-rate cuts combined with record fiscal spending—essentially an amplified “Goldilocks” scenario. Yet, it raises the question: How much stimulus is too much ?

Second, institutional flows reveal a divergence between bitcoin (BTC) and ether (ETH). The ￰0￱ ETFs have registered a net investment of $3.69 billion this month, extending the four-month inflows ￰1￱ ETFs, in contrast, have seen an outflow of over $800 million, the second-highest on ￰2￱ difference is a sign of investor rotation into ether from its larger rival and possibly a bull run in altcoins ￰3￱ brings us to the key trend to watch out for in the coming month: the boom in altcoin treasury companies. "The rise of altcoin treasuries can be the decisive spark that ignites the final phase of the current market cycle and ushers in another wave of the altseason," said Ray Yossef, a crypto market analyst and founder of crypto app ￰4￱ names like BitMine, SharpLink, Galaxy Capital, Pantera and even corporations like Trump Media have begun focusing on blue-chip altcoins like ETH, SOL, BNB, and CRO as treasury-grade reserve assets, Yossef said in an email.

"Billions of dollars are being allocated and reallocated into these treasuries, and that institutional vote of confidence is boosting the perception of altcoins, signaling that institutional capital is no longer reserved exclusively for BTC," he ￰5￱ his latest article, Arthur Hayes, CIO and co-founder of Maelstrom Fund, predicted that ENA, ETHFI, and HYPE will rally 51x, 34x, and 126x, respectively, by ￰6￱ the next 24 hours, BTC traders should keep an eye on $113,600, as this level may experience an increase in selling pressure from short-term traders who reach their ￰7￱ market focus seems to be on smaller ￰8￱ CoinDesk 80 Index was recently up over 4% on a 24-hour basis while the CoinDesk 20 Index added just 0.82%.

In key news, Bybit announced the addition of Volmex's bitcoin and ether implied volatility indices to its Advanced Earn Page, a hub for high-yield structured ￰9￱ move underscores the growing demand for volatility ￰10￱ traditional markets, bond yield curves continue to steepen across the advanced world, with longer-duration yields rising to multi-month/decade ￰11￱ alert! What to Watch Crypto Aug. 28: Router Protocol (ROUTE) will debut the on-chain swaps upgrade on its mainnet. Aug. 29, 2 p. m.: The Stellar Development Foundation will host a livestream on X to discuss how NEAR Intents will enable new DeFi use cases on the Stellar blockchain.

Sept. 4: Polygon will switch its mainnet token from MATIC to ￰12￱ of MATIC on Ethereum, Polygon zkEVM or centralized exchanges may need to take ￰13￱ Aug. 28, 8 a. m.: Mexico's National Institute of Statistics and Geography releases July unemployment rate ￰14￱ Rate Est. 2.9% vs. Prev. 2.7% Aug. 28, 8:30 a. m.: The ￰15￱ of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases (2nd Estimate) Q2 GDP ￰16￱ PCE Prices QoQ st. 2.6% vs.

Prev. 3.5% GDP Growth Rate QoQ Est. 3.1% vs. Prev. -0.5% GDP Price Index QoQ Est. 2% vs. Prev. 3.8% GDP Sales QoQEst. 6.3% vs. Prev. -3.1% PCE Prices QoQ Est. 2.1% vs.

Prev. 3.7% Real Consumer Spending QoQ Est. 1.4% vs. Prev. 0.5% Aug. 28, 1:30 p. m.: Uruguay's National Statistics Institute releases July unemployment rate ￰17￱ Rate Prev. 7.3% Aug. 28, 6:00 p. m.: Fed Governor Christopher ￰18￱ will speak on “Payments” at the Economic Club of Miami Dinner, Miami, ￰19￱ live .

Aug. 29, 8:30 a. m.: Statistics Canada releases Q2 GDP ￰20￱ Growth Rate Annualized Est. -0.6% vs. Prev. 2.2% GDP Growth Rate QoQ Prev. 0.5% Aug. 29, 8:30 a. m.: The ￰21￱ of Economic Analysis (BEA) releases July consumer income and expenditure ￰22￱ PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.3% vs.

Prev. 0.3% Core PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.9% vs. Prev. 2.8% PCE Price Index MoM Est. 0.2% vs. Prev. 0.3% PCE Price Index YoY Est. 2.6% vs. Prev. 2.6% Personal Income MoM Est. 0.4% vs.

Prev. 0.3% Personal Spending MoM Est. 0.5% vs. Prev. 0.3% Aug. 29, 11 a. m.: Colombia's National Administrative Department of Statistics (DANE) releases July unemployment rate ￰23￱ Rate Est. 8.9% vs. Prev. 8.6% Earnings (Estimates based on FactSet data) Aug. 28: IREN ( IREN ), post-market, $0.18 Token Events Governance votes & calls Aug. 28: PointPay (PXP) to host ask me anything with CEO Vladimir Kardapoltsev on YouTube.

Aug. 28: Alchemy Pay (ACH) to host community ask me anything at 8 a. m. Aug. 28: Kaia (KAIA) to host community town hall on the USDT campaign, Hackathon, and Web3 adoption at 9 a. m.

Aug. 28: The Sandbox (SAND) to host town hall to "dive into everything audio," at 11 a. m. Aug. 28: Moonwell (WELL) to host governance call at 1 ￰24￱ Aug. 28: Jupiter (JUP) to unlock 1.78% of its circulating supply worth $26.36 million. Sep. 1: Sui (SUI) to release 1.25% of its circulating supply worth $153.1 million.

Sep. 2: Ethena (ENA) to release 0.64% of its circulating supply worth $25.64 million. Sep. 5: Immutable (IMX) to unlock 1.27% of its circulating supply worth $13.26 ￰25￱ Launches Aug. 28: Mantle (MNT) to list on Bitfinex. Aug. 28: Nobody Sausage (NOBODY) to list on Binance. US.

Aug. 28: Virtuals Protocol (VIRTUAL) to list on ￰26￱ The CoinDesk Policy & Regulation conference (formerly known as State of Crypto) is a one-day boutique event held in Washington on Sept. 10 that allows general counsels, compliance officers and regulatory executives to meet with public officials responsible for crypto legislation and regulatory ￰27￱ is ￰28￱ code CDB15 for 15% off your registration through Sept. 1. Aug. 28: Stablecoin Conference 2025 (Mexico City) Aug. 28-29: Bitcoin Asia 2025 (Hong Kong) Sept. 3-5: bitcoin++ (Istanbul) Token Talk By Shaurya Malwa YZY , the Solana-based memecoin linked to Ye (Kanye West), left more than 70,000 wallets in losses after its chaotic debut, according to blockchain analytics firm ￰29￱ token was pitched as part of a broader “YZY Money” ecosystem, including payment rails and a branded card, but structural flaws in supply distribution and liquidity design quickly tilted risk the toward ￰30￱ 51,800 addresses apparently lost $1–$1,000, 5,269 wallets lost $1,000–$10,000 and 1,025 wallets lost $10,000–$100,000, Bubblemaps ￰31￱ traders lost more than $1 million each and 108 wallets booked six-figure ￰32￱ the flip side, just 11 wallets made $1 million or more, 99 wallets booked $100,000+, and about 2,541 cleared at least $1,000 in profit — meaning less than 0.1% of traders captured meaningful ￰33￱ crowd overall is down $8.2 million, despite insiders pocketing millions.

Bubblemaps’ data shows profits were brutally concentrated, with the top 11 winners capturing nearly all meaningful ￰34￱ flaws were evident: 70% of supply was reserved for Yeezy Investments LLC, 20% sold to the public, and 10% used for ￰35￱ pool was seeded only with YZY tokens, not paired with stablecoins, leaving it vulnerable to liquidity drains — similar to the LIBRA token collapse in Argentina.. The outcome mirrors many celebrity-based memecoins, which are marketed as fan engagement tools, but often appear to be structured to funnel gains to those in the know while leaving retail buyers holding the ￰36￱ Positioning BTC's rise in price from Tuesday is characterized by a drop in open interest (OI) in USDT- and dollar-denominated perpetual futures across major exchanges, including Bybit, Binance, OKX, Deribit and Hyperliquid, and low spot market volumes.

(Check the Chart of the Day). The same is true for ￰37￱ divergence between the price performance and trends in OI and volumes, raises a question about the sustainability of the ￰38￱ the past 24 hours, SOL, DOGE and ADA have registered an increase in futures OI, while the other major cryptocurrencies have seen capital ￰39￱ rates (calculated on an 8-hour basis) for most majors have receded to near zero, indicating a neutral ￰40￱ the CME, BTC futures OI remains well below December highs while the annualized three-month basis remains under 10%. However, options OI has increased to 42.89K BTC, the highest since May ￰41￱ ETH's case, the CME futures OI has risen to a record 2.2 million ETH, signaling robust institutional ￰42￱ Deribit, BTC put options continue to trade at a higher premium than calls across all tenors, indicating a bearish regime shift.

BTC's implied volatility (IV) term structure remains upward-sloping with September expiry options trading at mid-to-high 30 ￰43￱ ETH's case, the call bias has notably weakened since early this ￰44￱ flows on OTC network Paradigm featured butterfly option strategies in BTC and an outright purchase of the Aug. 30 expiry ether call at the $5,000 ￰45￱ Movements BTC is up 0.45% from 4 ￰46￱ Wednesday at $112,929.44(24hrs: +1.78%) ETH is down 0.12% at $4,589.62.94 (24hrs: +0.31%) CoinDesk 20 is unchanged at 4,168.55 (24hrs: +0.83%) Ether CESR Composite Staking Rate is down 3 bps at 2.9% BTC funding rate is at 0.008% (8.7688% annualized) on Binance DXY is down 0.16% at 98.08 Gold futures are up 0.18% at $3,454.80 Silver futures are up 0.72% at $38.99 Nikkei 225 closed up 0.73% at 42,828.79 Hang Seng closed down 0.81% at 24,998.82 FTSE is down 0.36% at 9,221.86 Euro Stoxx 50 is up 0.28% at 5,407.94 DJIA closed on Wednesday up 0.32% at 45,565.23 S&P 500 closed up 0.24% at 6,481.40 Nasdaq Composite closed up 0.21% at 21,590.14 S&P/TSX Composite closed up 0.33% at 28,433.00 S&P 40 Latin America closed up 0.96% at 2,741.35 U.

S. 10-Year Treasury rate is down 0.8 bps at 4.23% E-mini S&P 500 futures are unchanged at 6,499.00 E-mini Nasdaq-100 futures are unchanged at 23,623.00 E-mini Dow Jones Industrial Average Index are up 0.19% at 45,729.00 Bitcoin Stats BTC Dominance: 58.26% (-0.06%) Ether-bitcoin ratio: 0.04062 (0.26%) Hashrate (seven-day moving average): 969 EH/s Hashprice (spot): $55.16 Total fees: 3.65 BTC / $407,212 CME Futures Open Interest: 138,700 BTC BTC priced in gold: 33.2 ￰47￱ vs gold market cap: 9.45% Technical Analysis BTC's price is looking to establish a foothold above the upper end of the falling channel that marks the pullback from record highs.

A convincing breakout would mean that the temporary bull breather has ended, opening the doors for a renewed rally to $120,000 and ￰48￱ 50-, 100- and 200-hour simple moving averages are bottoming out as well in a sign of potential price gains ￰49￱ Equities Coinbase Global (COIN): closed on Wednesday at $308.97 (+0.16%), +0.63% at $310.92 in pre-market Circle (CRCL): closed at $127.4 (-1.28%), +0.58% at $128.14 Galaxy Digital (GLXY): closed at $24.41 (-1.25%), +1.27% at $24.72 Bullish (BLSH): closed at $63.98 (-3.18%), -0.14% at $63.89 MARA Holdings (MARA): closed at $15.85 (+0.06%), +1.14% at $16.03 Riot Platforms (RIOT): closed at $13.55 (-1.02%), +1.03% at $13.69 Core Scientific (CORZ): closed at $14.2 (+1.14%), +0.92% at $14.33 CleanSpark (CLSK): closed at $9.58 (-1.03%), +1.67% at $9.74 CoinShares Valkyrie Bitcoin Miners ETF (WGMI): closed at $29.31 (-0.27%) Exodus Movement (EXOD): closed at $27.25 (+1%), +2.68% at $27.98 Crypto Treasury Companies Strategy (MSTR): closed at $342.06 (-2.65%), +1.21% at $346.21 in pre-market Semler Scientific (SMLR): closed at $30.56 (-0.75%) SharpLink Gaming (SBET): closed at $19.27 (-3.26%), +1.19% at $19.50 Upexi (UPXI): closed at $8.22 (-3.92%), +6.45% at $8.75 Mei Pharma (MEIP): closed at $5.16 (-2.27%) ETF Flows Spot BTC ETFs Daily net flows: $81.4 million Cumulative net flows: $54.16 billion Total BTC holdings ~1.29 million Spot ETH ETFs Daily net flows: $307.2 million Cumulative net flows: $13.65 billion Total ETH holdings ~6.53 million): Glassnode data suggests short-term holders may sell near $113.6K and highlights $107K as the key support level, while analysts say ETF inflows and corporate buying provide a bullish ￰50￱ Futures Open Interest on CME Hits Record $10B, Hinting at Institutional Resurgence (CoinDesk): The exchange said the number of large open interest holders — those holding at least 25 ETH contracts at a time — hit a record 101 early this ￰51￱ Sandbox Cuts Half of Its Staff, Restructures as Animoca Brands Take Control (CoinDesk): The Sandbox is reportedly facing sweeping cuts, dwindling users and a token crash, with control shifting to majority shareholder Animoca Brands and questions looming over its nine-figure crypto ￰52￱ Bitcoin, Backed by Trump’s Sons, Aims to Start Trading in September (Reuters): Hut 8 CEO Asher Genoot said American Bitcoin’s merger with Gryphon Digital Mining will soon close, allowing for a Nasdaq listing under the ticker ￰53￱ Trump brothers and Hut 8 will hold 98% of the ￰54￱ Summons ￰55￱ Over Suspected American Influence Campaign in Greenland (The Wall Street Journal): Investigators say U.

S.-linked operatives are compiling lists of sympathetic Greenlanders and stoking separatist sentiment to weaken Denmark's grip, an unprecedented move among allies as Washington eyes strategic control of the ￰56￱ Won the Rare Earths ￰57￱ It Stay on Top? (Financial Times): China has kept prices low to block rivals, controlling 70% of mining, 90% of processing and nearly all magnet output, leaving western efforts struggling to build viable ￰58￱ the Ether

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