$160K Bitcoin By Christmas? Analysts Say It’s Still Possible

Bitcoin slid to levels not seen since early July this week, but some analysts say the drop may be only a short pause before a bigger year-end ￰0￱ Reading: Dogecoin Gears Up For Triple Surge ￰1￱ – Details September has a long record of being the weakest month for BTC, and historically it has never closed more than 8% ￰2￱ context is shaping how traders and researchers read the charts now. Expert’s Timing And Historic Averages According to research from network economist Timothy Peterson, there are four months until Christmas and history favors gains in that ￰3￱ posted on X that Bitcoin has been higher over the same four-month span 70% of the time, and the average gain he calculated was +44%.

Based on that average, Bitcoin would trade near $160,000 by the last week of ￰4￱ also warned that the calculation is more of a guideline than a ￰5￱ Four Months Until ￰6￱ does Bitcoin fare during this time? Up 70% of the ￰7￱ gain +44%. However I think some years do not have market/economic conditions comparable to 2025. I would exclude 2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017 as uncharacteristic years.… ￰8￱ — Timothy Peterson (@nsquaredvalue) August 25, 2025 He suggested excluding certain years—2018, 2022, 2020, and 2017—because those years did not match what he calls comparable market conditions, and removing them tilts the result toward steadier, more positive ￰9￱ rarely follow neat ￰10￱ when a long-term pattern appears, short bursts of volatility still happen.

Peterson’s note about excluding specific years acknowledges that ￰11￱ is a reminder that averages smooth over big swings. BTC… 👓 We’re just front-running the “September sell off”. The scale is different — but the outcome is the ￰12￱ ￰13￱ — Donny (@DonnyDicey) August 27, 2025 Traders See Familiar Patterns Some traders on X described the current price behavior as a repeat of past seasonal ￰14￱ to Trader Donny, Bitcoin is “front-running” the usual September lull and could move significantly higher ￰15￱ compared the present action to 2017 and suggested that BTC might be mirroring gold, catching up after a period of ￰16￱ comparison to gold has been made before; it is a shorthand for assets that sometimes trade out of sync and then align again as macro forces ￰17￱ now, price action looks like a pause, not a ￰18￱ Through Year End Based on reports and the numbers involved, the coming months will be an important test of whether past four-month rallies repeat ￰19￱ average +44% move would be a big swing if it materializes, yet averages do not guarantee one ￰20￱ traders and investors, that means balancing the historical pattern with the real-time risks that have pushed BTC back to July ￰21￱ Reading: Could Pi Network Land On Coinbase?

Hackathon Winner Thinks So Featured image from Meta, chart from TradingView