105 of 107 Economists Expect Fed to Cut Rates 25 Basis Points on September 17: Reuters

Nearly unanimous consensus among economists points to a Fed rate cut next week, with Bitcoin positioning for a potential rally toward $140,000 as monetary policy shifts toward accommodation. A Reuters poll found 105 of 107 economists expect a 25 basis-point reduction on September 17, marking the first easing since the central bank paused its cycle in ￰0￱ Market Weakness Drives Unanimous Rate Cut Consensus The massive shift towards a rate cut comes after stalling job growth in August and sharp downward revisions erasing 900,000 jobs from the 12-month data through ￰1￱ have fully priced in the September cut and now anticipate three reductions by year-end, compared to two just weeks ￰2￱ surged above $116,000 following fresh inflation data that reinforced rate cut ￰3￱ Price Index unexpectedly declined 0.1% in August against forecasts for a 0.3% increase, while Consumer Price Index confirmed headline inflation quickened but not enough to derail monetary easing ￰4￱ softer wholesale inflation and labor market weakness prompted the Fed to shift its focus from price stability concerns to supporting economic ￰5￱ jobless claims spiked to 263,000 , the highest since October 2021, while the unemployment rate holds at 4.3%.) September 11, 2025 Two ascending triangle patterns emerged, with one completed triggering breakouts above channel resistance and a larger triangle validating the bullish thesis toward $120,000 targets.

However, accumulator addresses holding 266,000 BTC reached record levels even as futures market dynamics signal ￰6￱ participation declined with smaller traders driving volume, while futures taker sell pressure outpaced buys, creating bearish sentiment that could limit upside ￰7￱ Value Area High sits at $114,000, with sustained moves above this level potentially pushing prices toward $117,600. Conversely, failure to hold $111,950 may accelerate declines toward $107,250 as the market balances strong accumulation against fading speculative ￰8￱ Pressure Mounts as Trump Demands Aggressive Easing President Trump intensified criticism of Fed Chair Jerome Powell , demanding immediate rate cuts while threatening major lawsuits over interest cost ￰9￱ posted on Wednesday, declaring “NO INFLATION!!!

TOO ￰10￱ LOWER THE RATE, BIG, RIGHT ￰11￱ IS A TOTAL DISASTER.” The political pressure coincides with Powell’s acknowledgment that employment risks may outweigh inflation ￰12￱ at Jackson Hole, Powell hinted at quarter-point cuts as “highly likely” while warning against assuming rapid easing sequences, stressing policy remains ￰13￱ the Reuters report, Morgan Stanley’s Michael Gapen advocated for measured 25-basis-point reductions, noting four months of labor demand slowdown evidence. “In short, ignore where inflation is today and ease policy to support the labor ￰14￱ think a 25bp rate cut in September is more likely than a larger cut,” he ￰15￱ Secretary Scott Bessent has also previously urged steeper 50-basis-point moves after core CPI cooled to 3.1% ￰16￱ FedWatch shows 100% ease probability of September cuts, with major banks including Barclays and Deutsche Bank revising forecasts for imminent easing.