Crypto commentator Pumpius shared a detailed outlook suggesting that the approval of all spot XRP exchange-traded funds (ETFs) by October 2025 could trigger a major XRP rally to $50 by 0 to Pumpius, this is not based on speculation but on current filings, regulatory developments, and market 1 explained that there are already six to seven active S-1 filings or amendments before the 2 and Exchange Commission (SEC). These include submissions from Bitwise, 21Shares, WisdomTree, CoinShares, Canary Capital, and Franklin Templeton, which filed a dedicated Franklin XRP ETF 3 noted that several amended S-1s were submitted following the dismissal of the Ripple case with the SEC, indicating that issuers are positioning for potential 4 highlighted that the SEC has aligned decisions for issuers such as WisdomTree to late October 5 creates what he called a synchronized decision window, meaning that multiple ETFs could receive approval 6 this occurs, launches could take place in the fourth quarter of 7 and Institutional Support The regulatory environment is also 8 pointed out that the SEC has begun publishing guidance on crypto ETFs, while exchanges are working on standard listing practices for crypto exchange-traded 9 is designed to normalize approvals beyond Bitcoin and Ethereum, creating a more favorable backdrop for XRP ahead of the October decision 10 infrastructure is another element that Pumpius considers 11 cited the launch of XRP futures by CME in May 2025 and the listing of CFTC-regulated XRP futures by Coinbase Derivatives in April 12 developments mirror the pathway that Bitcoin and Ethereum followed before their ETFs were launched, suggesting a standard market playbook is unfolding for XRP as 13 Structure and Supply Mechanics Pumpius stressed that ETF demand could result in a large-scale repricing of XRP due to the limited effective supply available for 14 35 to 36 billion XRP remain locked in escrow under pre-programmed releases, while most of the circulating supply is held by large entities and 15 means that the actual free float is relatively thin when compared to the scale of potential institutional 16 to Pumpius, independent market desks estimate that first-month inflows into spot XRP ETFs could exceed $5 17 argued that such demand, combined with limited supply, would create sharp upward pressure on 18 Projections and Potential Outcome In his scenario analysis, Pumpius illustrated how ETF inflows could 19 suggested $5 to $8 billion in net inflows by late November 2025 across multiple issuers, with an additional $5 to $10 billion possible from futures arbitrage, registered investment advisor (RIA) rebalancing, and corporate treasury 20 a circulating supply of over 59 billion XRP, he explained that this level of demand could trigger extreme price elasticity, which has previously resulted in significant price increases in other assets with larger free 21 are on X, follow us to connect with us :- @TimesTabloid1 — TimesTabloid (@TimesTabloid1) June 15, 2025 Pumpius concluded that $50 for XRP by December 2025 is plausible if spot ETFs are approved in 22 emphasized that this is not dependent on BlackRock’s participation, as more than six other issuers are already 23 also described the broader narrative as one of institutionalization, where XRP is increasingly seen as a settlement asset in a post-litigation environment, with ETFs serving as the distribution 24 : This content is meant to inform and should not be considered financial 25 views expressed in this article may include the author’s personal opinions and do not represent Times Tabloid’s 26 are advised to conduct thorough research before making any investment 27 action taken by the reader is strictly at their own 28 Tabloid is not responsible for any financial 29 us on X , Facebook , Telegram , and Google News
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