Norwegian Officials Probe Major Polymarket Bets on Nobel Peace Winner

Norwegian officials are investigating a potential leak after large bets were placed on the Nobel Peace Prize outcome on Polymarket just hours before it became ￰0￱ opposition leader Maria Corina Machado, who won the 2025 Nobel Peace Prize for her role in the fight for democracy, saw a spike in bets on her victory on the prediction markets hours before the official announcement, Bloomberg ￰1￱ spike was so notable that Polymarket’s official account posted on social media about it. A trader using the handle “ dirtycup ” placed a near $70,000 bet on Machado and walked away with about $30,000 in profit, without adding any other type of ￰2￱ account had been opened only weeks earlier and had no prior betting history, according to Polymarket ￰3￱ other accounts also focused solely on Machado and earned a combined $90,000, local Norwegian outlet Finansavisen reported.

“We take this very seriously,” said Kristian Berg Harpviken, director of the Norwegian Nobel Institute. “It seems we have been prey to a criminal actor who wants to earn money on our information.” While the Nobel Peace Prize selection process is known for its secrecy, the committee had reportedly made its decision days ￰4￱ committee is now reviewing the ￰5￱ allows users to bet on real-world events, from elections to celebrity ￰6￱ founder, Shayne Coplan, became the world’s youngest self-made billionaire after the firm saw $2 billion investment from the owner of the New York Stock Exchange.